{"id":20352,"date":"2016-08-29T11:26:45","date_gmt":"2016-08-29T11:26:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/2016\/08\/29\/%e7%b0%a1%e4%b8%96%e5%8b%9b%ef%bc%9a%e7%94%9f%e7%94%a2%e7%8e%87%e4%bd%8e%e8%bf%b7%e5%b0%87%e5%b0%8e%e8%87%b4%e8%b2%a8%e5%b9%a3%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96%e5%a4%b1%e6%95%88\/"},"modified":"2016-08-29T11:26:45","modified_gmt":"2016-08-29T11:26:45","slug":"%e7%b0%a1%e4%b8%96%e5%8b%9b%ef%bc%9a%e7%94%9f%e7%94%a2%e7%8e%87%e4%bd%8e%e8%bf%b7%e5%b0%87%e5%b0%8e%e8%87%b4%e8%b2%a8%e5%b9%a3%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96%e5%a4%b1%e6%95%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/?p=20352","title":{"rendered":"\u7c21\u4e16\u52db\uff1a\u751f\u7522\u7387\u4f4e\u8ff7\u5c07\u5c0e\u81f4\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u5931\u6548"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n
\n

\u3000\u3000\u7c21\u4e16\u52db\uff1a\u7576\u589e\u9577\u548c\u901a\u8139\u90fd\u8655\u65bc\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u4f4e\u9ede\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u6703\u88ab\u62c9\u4f4e\u81f3\u6975\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u767c\u751f\u6df1\u5ea6\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u5c07\u964d\u7121\u53ef\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u532f\u8c50\u9ad8\u7d1a\u7d93\u6fdf\u9867\u554f \u7c21\u4e16\u52db \u70ba\u82f1\u570b\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u6642\u5831\u300b\u64b0\u7a3f<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5728\u6574\u500b\u767c\u9054\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u751f\u7522\u7387\u589e\u9577\u90fd\u975e\u5e38\u75b2\u8edf\u3002\u5373\u4fbf\u6211\u5011\u5929\u5929\u90fd\u80fd\u770b\u5230\u79d1\u6280\u754c\u7684\u65b0\u767c\u660e\uff0c\u6bcf\u5c0f\u6642\u7522\u51fa\u7684\u589e\u9577\u537b\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\u3002\u7121\u53ef\u5426\u8a8d\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u6bd4\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u597d\u4e00\u4e9b\u3002\u5f9e2007\u5e74\u52302014\u5e74(\u9019\u662f\u6709\u53ef\u6bd4\u6578\u64da\u7684\u6700\u8fd1\u5e74\u4efd)\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u6bcf\u5c0f\u6642\u7522\u51fa\u589e\u9577\u903e7%\uff0c\u800c\u82f1\u570b\u5927\u9ad4\u4e0a\u6c92\u4ec0\u9ebd\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u610f\u5927\u5229\u66f4\u662f\u4e0b\u6ed1\u4e862%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4ee5\u5404\u570b\u81ea\u8eab\u904e\u5f80\u6b77\u53f2\u5224\u65b7\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u662f\u201c\u6210\u529f\u570b\u5bb6\u201d\u4e5f\u662f\u5931\u6557\u7684\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4e0a\u4e16\u7d0080\u5e74\u4ee3\u521d\u671f\u7684\u9ed1\u6697\u5e74\u4ee3\u2014\u2014\u7576\u6642\u5148\u5f8c\u5169\u8f2a\u8870\u9000\u5747\u5f15\u767c\u4e86\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u3001\u76e1\u7ba1\u662f\u66ab\u6642\u6027\u7684\u7522\u51fa\u4e0b\u6ed1\u2014\u2014\u7f8e\u570b\u5f9e\u672a\u7d93\u6b77\u904e\u751f\u7522\u7387\u589e\u9577\u5982\u6b64\u75b2\u8edf\u7684\u6642\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u95dc\u65bc\u751f\u7522\u7387\u589e\u9577\u75b2\u8edf\uff0c\u4eba\u5011\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u8a31\u591a\u7a2e\u89e3\u91cb\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u52de\u502b\u65af•\u85a9\u9ed8\u65af(Lawrence Summers)\u91cd\u63d0\u201c\u9577\u671f\u6027\u505c\u6eef\u201d(secular
\nstagnation)\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u7f85\u4f2f\u7279•\u6208\u767b(Robert
\nGordon)\u5247\u8072\u7a31\uff0c\u6280\u8853\u5c0d\u4eba\u5011\u751f\u6d3b\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u5f71\u97ff\u5df2\u7d93\u904e\u53bb\u3002\u800c\u4ee5\u6211\u500b\u4eba\u4e4b\u898b\uff0c\u5728\u7d93\u6b77\u4e86\u6230\u5f8c\u6f2b\u9577\u7684\u8ffd\u88dc\u6027\u589e\u9577\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u6b63\u5728\u56de\u6b78\u201c\u5e38\u614b\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5f9e\u8a31\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u85a9\u9ed8\u65af\u7684\u89c0\u9ede\u6700\u6a02\u89c0\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u89c0\u9ede\u8a8d\u70ba\u61c9\u8a72\u63d0\u4f9b\u8ca1\u653f\u523a\u6fc0\u2014\u2014\u5c24\u5176\u5074\u91cd\u57fa\u5efa\u9805\u76ee\u2014\u2014\u5e0c\u671b\u589e\u52a0\u9700\u6c42\u6703\u5275\u9020\u66f4\u591a\u4f9b\u7d66\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u5728\u65bc\uff0c\u8ca1\u653f\u523a\u6fc0\u6703\u63a8\u5347\u653f\u5e9c\u50b5\u52d9\uff0c\u537b\u4e0d\u6703\u70ba\u7d93\u6fdf\u5e36\u4f86\u6301\u7e8c\u6027\u7684\u597d\u8655\u3002\u9019\u53ef\u4ee5\u53c3\u8003\u65e5\u672c\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u88e1\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u570b\u5728\u4e92\u806f\u7db2\u6ce1\u6cab\u7834\u88c2\u4e4b\u5f8c\u51fa\u53f0\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u8209\u63aa\uff0c\u5f8c\u8005\u50c5\u50c5\u5f15\u767c\u4e86\u623f\u5730\u7522\u7684\u4e00\u6642\u6027\u7e41\u69ae\uff0c\u537b\u6c92\u6709\u70ba\u751f\u7522\u7387\u589e\u9577\u5e36\u4f86\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u597d\u8655\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u751f\u7522\u7387\u4f4e\u8ff7\u6703\u640d\u5bb3\u4eba\u5011\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u4e00\u65e6\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\u5f8c\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u52302021\u5e74\uff0c\u6bd4\u8d77\u6230\u5f8c\u751f\u7522\u7387\u5e74\u5747\u589e\u95772%\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u6703\u4f4e16%\u3002\u7a05\u6536\u6536\u5165\u3001\u91ab\u7642\u3001\u990a\u8001\u91d1\u3001\u5de5\u8cc7\u589e\u9577\u4ee5\u53ca\u6240\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u6709\u76ca\u65bc\u570b\u5bb6\u798f\u5229\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u90fd\u6703\u906d\u5230\u524a\u5f31\u3002\u5de6\u4e2d\u53f3\u5404\u8def\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6\u5011\u6240\u8a31\u4e0b\u7684\u627f\u8afe\u90fd\u5c07\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u653e\u68c4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u70ba\u6b62\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u63d0\u632f\u751f\u7522\u7387\u7684\u5617\u8a66\u90fd\u5df2\u5931\u6557\u3002\u6240\u8b02\u7684\u5468\u671f\u6027\u7d93\u6fdf\u554f\u984c\u5df2\u6f14\u8b8a\u6210\u4ee4\u4eba\u75db\u82e6\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u5074\u7d04\u675f\u3002\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u63d0\u632f\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u548c\u6e1b\u5c11\u5931\u696d\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u6027\u8209\u63aa\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u7121\u610f\u9593\u640d\u5bb3\u4e86\u751f\u7522\u7387\u3002\u6975\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u548c\u91cf\u5316\u5bec\u677e\u4e5f\u8a31\u5df2\u7121\u5dee\u5225\u5730\u63a8\u5347\u4e86\u8cc7\u7522\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u640d\u5bb3\u4e86\u8cc7\u672c\u5e02\u5834\u5206\u8fa8\u5177\u6709\u7d93\u6fdf\u6548\u76ca\u7684\u9818\u57df\u8207\u7f3a\u4e4f\u6548\u76ca\u7684\u9818\u57df\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u66f4\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u554f\u984c\u662f\uff0c\u751f\u7522\u7387\u589e\u901f\u9577\u671f\u4f4e\u8ff7\uff0c\u4e5f\u8a31\u6b63\u5728\u5c0e\u81f4\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u5931\u53bb\u6548\u529b\u3002\u5728\u589e\u9577\u548c\u901a\u8139\u90fd\u8655\u65bc\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u4f4e\u9ede\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u91cc\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u6703\u88ab\u62c9\u4f4e\u81f3\u4ee4\u4eba\u96e3\u4ee5\u7f6e\u4fe1\u7684\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u2014\u2014\u9019\u6b63\u662f\u6211\u5011\u4eca\u5929\u9047\u5230\u7684\u72c0\u6cc1\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5229\u7387\u56e0\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u539f\u56e0\u800c\u8655\u65bc\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u767c\u751f\u6df1\u5ea6\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u5c07\u964d\u7121\u53ef\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5728\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u6574\u500b\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u6846\u67b6\u6709\u5f85\u52aa\u529b\u6574\u6539\u3002\u5fc5\u9808\u653e\u68c4\u5404\u7a2e\u9673\u8a5e\u6feb\u8abf\u3002\u5728\u96f6\u5229\u7387\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u8981\u65e5\u76ca\u5bc6\u5207\u5730\u8207\u8ca1\u653f\u90e8\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u5c07\u5354\u540c\u884c\u52d5\u7684\u9700\u8981\u7f6e\u65bc\u7368\u7acb\u81ea\u4e3b\u7684\u610f\u9858\u4e4b\u4e0a\u3002\u901a\u8139\u76ee\u6a19\u5236\u6216\u8a31\u5fc5\u9808\u653e\u68c4\uff0c\u4e5f\u8a31\u8981\u7531\u540d\u7fa9\u570b\u5167\u751f\u7522\u7e3d\u503c(GDP)\u76ee\u6a19\u5236\u4ee3\u66ff\uff0c\u5982\u6b64\u4e00\u4f86\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u904e\u52aa\u529b\u63d0\u9ad8\u901a\u8139\u3001\u63d0\u5347\u540d\u7fa9GDP\u4e26\u6291\u5236\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u96e3\u627f\u53d7\u7684\u50b5\u52d9\u6c34\u5e73\u6240\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u4f86\u61c9\u5c0d\u5be6\u969b\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u901f\u7684\u653e\u7de9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u592e\u884c\u80fd\u5920\u4ee4\u4eba\u4fe1\u670d\u5730\u5c55\u793a\u5176\u4e0d\u50c5\u5177\u5099\u63d0\u9ad8\u901a\u8139\u7684\u610f\u9858\uff0c\u4e5f\u5177\u6709\u9054\u6210\u9019\u4e00\u76ee\u6a19\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u540d\u7fa9GDP\u76ee\u6a19\u5236\u624d\u6703\u594f\u6548\u3002\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u70ba\u6b62\uff0c\u5b83\u5011\u5728\u9019\u65b9\u9762\u4e0d\u662f\u7279\u5225\u6210\u529f\u3002\u5982\u679c\u751f\u7522\u7387\u589e\u901f\u771f\u7684\u9577\u671f\u8655\u5728\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4eba\u5011\u5c07\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u653e\u68c4\u751f\u6d3b\u6703\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u5bcc\u8db3\u7684\u671f\u671b\u3002\u5982\u679c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5df2\u662f\u56f0\u96e3\u91cd\u91cd\uff0c\u653f\u6cbb\u6700\u7d42\u4e5f\u6703\u5bf8\u6b65\u96e3\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u672c\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u662f\u532f\u8c50(HSBC)\u9ad8\u7d1a\u7d93\u6fdf\u9867\u554f\uff0c\u8457\u6709\u300a\u8ca8\u5e63\u653e\u6c34\u7684\u76e1\u982d\u300b(When the Money Runs Out)\u4e00\u66f8<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u8b6f\u8005\/\u7c21\u6613<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u3000\u3000\u7c21\u4e16\u52db\uff1a\u7576\u589e\u9577\u548c\u901a\u8139\u90fd\u8655\u65bc\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u4f4e\u9ede\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u6703\u88ab\u62c9\u4f4e\u81f3\u6975\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u767c\u751f\u6df1\u5ea6\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u5c07\u964d\u7121\u53ef\u964d\u3002 \u3000\u3000\u532f\u8c50\u9ad8\u7d1a\u7d93\u6fdf\u9867\u554f \u7c21\u4e16\u52db \u70ba\u82f1\u570b\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u6642\u5831\u300b\u64b0\u7a3f \u3000\u3000\u5728\u6574\u500b\u767c\u9054\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u751f\u7522…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[8],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20352"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=20352"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20352\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=20352"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=20352"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=20352"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}