{"id":46476,"date":"2016-09-27T17:35:16","date_gmt":"2016-09-27T17:35:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/2016\/09\/27\/%e7%89%b9%e6%9c%97%e6%99%ae%e5%92%8c%e5%b8%8c%e6%8b%89%e9%87%8c%e5%9c%a8%e9%a6%96%e5%9c%ba%e7%94%b5%e8%a7%86%e8%be%a9%e8%ae%ba%e4%b8%ad%e5%af%b9%e6%92%95-2\/"},"modified":"2016-09-27T17:35:16","modified_gmt":"2016-09-27T17:35:16","slug":"%e7%89%b9%e6%9c%97%e6%99%ae%e5%92%8c%e5%b8%8c%e6%8b%89%e9%87%8c%e5%9c%a8%e9%a6%96%e5%9c%ba%e7%94%b5%e8%a7%86%e8%be%a9%e8%ae%ba%e4%b8%ad%e5%af%b9%e6%92%95-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/?p=46476","title":{"rendered":"\u7279\u6717\u666e\u548c\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u5728\u9996\u573a\u7535\u89c6\u8fa9\u8bba\u4e2d\u201c\u5bf9\u6495\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n
\n

\u3000\u3000\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u70ae\u8f70\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e0d\u516c\u5f00\u7a0e\u8868\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5219\u62a8\u51fb\u4e86\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u7684\u7535\u90ae\u4e11\u95fb\u3002\u8fa9\u8bba\u540e\u7684\u5373\u5e2d\u6c11\u8c03\u663e\u793a\u591a\u6570\u89c2\u4f17\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u8d62\u4e86\u8fd9\u573a\u8fa9\u8bba\u3002<\/font><\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u82f1\u56fd\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u65f6\u62a5\u300b \u8fea\u7c73 \u3001\u8428\u59c6•\u5f17\u83b1\u660e , \u5df4\u5c3c•\u4e54\u666e\u68ee \u534e\u76db\u987f\u62a5\u9053<\/font><\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u57282016\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u9009\u4e3e\u9996\u573a\u7535\u89c6\u8fa9\u8bba\u4e2d\uff0c\u5730\u4ea7\u5f00\u53d1\u5546\u3001\u5171\u548c\u515a\u4eba\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7•\u7279\u6717\u666e(Donald
\nTrump)\u4e0e\u524d\u56fd\u52a1\u537f\u3001\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u4eba\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc•\u514b\u6797\u987f(Hillary
\nClinton)\u5c55\u5f00\u4e86\u5507\u67aa\u820c\u6218\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5c06\u4ed6\u7684\u5bf9\u624b\u63cf\u7ed8\u4e3a\u201c\u5178\u578b\u7684\u653f\u5ba2\u201d\uff0c\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u5219\u79f0\u5979\u7684\u5bf9\u624b\u6ca1\u6709\u4f5c\u597d\u51c6\u5907\u53bb\u627f\u62c5\u603b\u7edf\u201c\u8270\u5de8\u800c\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u8d23\u4efb\u201d\u3002<\/font><\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u70ae\u8f70\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e0d\u516c\u5f00\u5176\u7eb3\u7a0e\u7533\u62a5\u8868\u3002\u81ea\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7•\u5c3c\u514b\u677e(Richard
\nNixon)\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u4f4d\u603b\u7edf\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u90fd\u4f1a\u516c\u5f00\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u7a0e\u8868\u3002\u5979\u5bf9\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e0d\u516c\u5f00\u7a0e\u8868\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u8d28\u7591\uff0c\u731c\u6d4b\u7279\u6717\u666e\u6216\u8bb8\u5938\u5927\u4e86\u4ed6\u7684\u8d22\u5bcc\uff0c\u6216\u8bb8\u4e0d\u50cf\u4ed6\u58f0\u79f0\u7684\u90a3\u6837\u70ed\u8877\u6148\u5584\uff0c\u6216\u8bb8\u4f01\u56fe\u63a9\u76d6\u4ed6\u5230\u5e95\u7f34\u4e86\u591a\u5c11\u7a0e\u3002<\/font><\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u6216\u8bb8\u4ed6\u4e0d\u60f3\u8ba9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u77e5\u9053\u4ed6\u4e00\u5206\u94b1\u8054\u90a6\u7a0e\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u7f34\u3002\u201d\u5f53\u5979\u6307\u51fa\u7279\u6717\u666e\u516c\u5f00\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u4e00\u4efd\u7a0e\u8868\u663e\u793a\u4ed6\u6ca1\u6709\u7f34\u7eb3\u8fc7\u4efb\u4f55\u8054\u90a6\u7a0e\u65f6\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u56de\u5e94\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u8fd9\u8ba9\u6211\u663e\u5f97\u5f88\u7cbe\u660e\u3002\u201d<\/font><\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7279\u6717\u666e\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u62a8\u51fb\u4e86\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u7684\u7535\u90ae\u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u79f0\u201c\u4e00\u65e6\u5979\u516c\u5e03\u5979(\u5728\u8054\u90a6\u8c03\u67e5\u5c40(FBI)\u5bf9\u5979\u4f7f\u7528\u79c1\u4eba\u90ae\u4ef6\u670d\u52a1\u5668\u4e00\u4e8b\u5c55\u5f00\u8c03\u67e5\u524d\u5220\u9664)\u76843\u4e07\u5c01\u7535\u5b50\u90ae\u4ef6\u201d\uff0c\u81ea\u5df1\u4f1a\u7acb\u523b\u516c\u5e03\u7a0e\u8868\u3002<\/font><\/p>\n

\u3000\u300090\u5206\u949f\u7684\u8fa9\u8bba\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u4e24\u4f4d\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u5f7c\u6b64\u8fe5\u5f02\u7684\u98ce\u683c\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e00\u5f00\u59cb\u8868\u73b0\u5f97\u8f83\u4e3a\u514b\u5236\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u4ed6\u6253\u7b97\u5728\u8fd9\u573a\u8fa9\u8bba\u4e2d\u91c7\u53d6\u4e00\u79cd\u4e0d\u90a3\u4e48\u5177\u6709\u5bf9\u6297\u6027\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f(\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4ed6\u5728\u5171\u548c\u515a\u521d\u9009\u8fa9\u8bba\u4e2d\u91c7\u53d6\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u800c\u8a00)\u3002\u4f46\u540e\u6765\uff0c\u5f53\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u53d1\u8d77\u5c16\u9510\u7684\u62a8\u51fb\u3001\u5c06\u5bf9\u624b\u63cf\u7ed8\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ee4\u5c0f\u4f01\u4e1a\u7ecf\u8425\u8005\u201c\u5904\u5883\u8270\u96be\u201d\u7684\u4eba\u65f6\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u660e\u663e\u88ab\u6fc0\u6012\u4e86\u3002<\/font><\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5f53\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u8c34\u8d23\u7279\u6717\u666e\u52a9\u957f\u79cd\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u3001\u4f20\u64ad\u6709\u5173\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5df4\u62c9\u514b•\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c(Barack
\nObama)\u51fa\u751f\u5730\u4e0d\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u9634\u8c0b\u8bba\u65f6\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u53cd\u51fb\u79f0\uff0c\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u7684\u52a9\u624b\u4eec\u4e5f\u505a\u8fc7\u540c\u6837\u7684\u4e8b\u3002<\/font><\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u5f53\u4f60\u4f01\u56fe\u8868\u73b0\u5f97\u6bd4\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u4f60\u66f4\u9ad8\u5c1a\u65f6\uff0c\u771f\u7684\u4e0d\u8d77\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u201d<\/font><\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7279\u6717\u666e\u518d\u5ea6\u5c06\u70ae\u706b\u5bf9\u51c6\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8(Fed)\uff0c\u4ed6\u66fe\u591a\u6b21\u6307\u8d23\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0e\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u653f\u5e9c\u5408\u8c0b\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u4f4e\u4f4d\u3002\u4ed6\u6307\u63a7\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u73cd\u59ae\u7279•\u8036\u4f26(Janet
\nYellen)\u2026\u2026\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6bd4\u514b\u6797\u987f\u56fd\u52a1\u537f\u8fd8\u8981\u8bb2\u653f\u6cbb\u3002\u201d<\/font><\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u4ed6\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u5904\u4e8e\u8fd1\u4ee3\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u5dee\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5c31\u8fde\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u73b0\u5728\u90fd\u5904\u4e8e\u201c\u5de8\u5927\u3001\u81c3\u80bf\u3001\u4e11\u964b\u7684\u6ce1\u6cab\u201d\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u5229\u7387\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c06\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u53d7\u5230\u51b2\u51fb\u3002<\/font><\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u516c\u5171\u653f\u7b56\u6c11\u8c03(Public Policy
\nPolling)\u5bf91000\u4e2a\u89c2\u770b\u4e86\u8fd9\u573a\u8fa9\u8bba\u7684\u4eba\u5c55\u5f00\u7684\u5373\u5e2d\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c51%\u7684\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u8d62\u4e86\uff0c40%\u7684\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5360\u4e0a\u98ce\uff0c9%\u7684\u4eba\u8868\u793a\u8bf4\u4e0d\u6e05\u3002\u5728PredictIt\u7b49\u535a\u5f69\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\uff0c\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u7684\u83b7\u80dc\u673a\u7387\u6da8\u4e86\u51e0\u4e2a\u70b9\u3002<\/font><\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7279\u6717\u666e\u79f0\u8d5e\u4ed6\u5c06\u4f01\u4e1a\u7a0e\u7387\u4ece35%\u4e0b\u8c03\u523015%\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u662f\u201c\u81ea\u7f57\u7eb3\u5fb7•\u91cc\u6839(Ronald
\nReagan)\u4ee5\u6765\u6211\u4eec\u4ece\u672a\u89c1\u8fc7\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u521b\u9020\u8005\u201d\u3002\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u79f0\u5979\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8ba1\u5212\u4fa7\u91cd\u4e8e\u516c\u5e73\u548c\u63a8\u8fdb\u201c\u5168\u9762\u3001\u5305\u5bb9\u7684\u589e\u957f\u201d\uff0c\u800c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u662f\u53ea\u4f1a\u5e2e\u52a9\u5bcc\u4eba\u7684\u201c\u7f16\u9020\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u6d93\u6ef4\u201d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u3002<\/font><\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u53cc\u65b9\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u8fd8\u8981\u4e3e\u884c\u4e24\u573a\u7535\u89c6\u8fa9\u8bba\u3002\u8fd9\u573a\u8fa9\u8bba\u5f00\u59cb\u65f6\u7684\u6c11\u8c03\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u8ddd11\u67088\u65e5\u7684\u5927\u9009\u8fd8\u670943\u5929\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u9009\u60c5\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u4e0e\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u65d7\u9f13\u76f8\u5f53\u3002\u5f6d\u535a\u793e(Bloomberg)\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6c11\u8c03\u663e\u793a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u9886\u5148\u5bf9\u624b\u4e24\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u800cRealClearPolitics\u6c47\u603b\u7684\u8fd1\u671f\u6c11\u8c03\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u4fdd\u6709\u5e73\u57471.6\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u7684\u9886\u5148\u4f18\u52bf\u3002<\/font><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u3000\u3000\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u70ae\u8f70\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e0d\u516c\u5f00\u7a0e\u8868\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5219\u62a8\u51fb\u4e86\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u7684\u7535\u90ae\u4e11\u95fb\u3002\u8fa9\u8bba\u540e\u7684\u5373\u5e2d\u6c11\u8c03\u663e\u793a\u591a\u6570\u89c2\u4f17\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5e0c\u62c9\u91cc\u8d62\u4e86\u8fd9\u573a\u8fa9\u8bba\u3002 \u3000\u3000\u82f1\u56fd\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u65f6\u62a5\u300b \u8fea\u7c73 \u3001\u8428\u59c6•\u5f17\u83b1\u660e , \u5df4…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46476"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=46476"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46476\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=46476"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=46476"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=46476"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}