{"id":50728,"date":"2017-05-16T22:28:15","date_gmt":"2017-05-16T22:28:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/2017\/05\/16\/%e5%9f%ba%e8%be%9b%e6%a0%bc%e6%97%a0%e9%a2%84%e8%ad%a6%e7%8e%b0%e8%ba%ab%e7%99%bd%e5%ae%ab-%e5%b7%9d%e6%99%ae%e8%81%94%e4%bf%84%e8%b7%af%e7%ba%bf%e9%87%8d%e7%94%9f\/"},"modified":"2017-05-16T22:28:15","modified_gmt":"2017-05-16T22:28:15","slug":"%e5%9f%ba%e8%be%9b%e6%a0%bc%e6%97%a0%e9%a2%84%e8%ad%a6%e7%8e%b0%e8%ba%ab%e7%99%bd%e5%ae%ab-%e5%b7%9d%e6%99%ae%e8%81%94%e4%bf%84%e8%b7%af%e7%ba%bf%e9%87%8d%e7%94%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/?p=50728","title":{"rendered":"\u57fa\u8f9b\u683c\u65e0\u9884\u8b66\u73b0\u8eab\u767d\u5bab\u2014\u2014\u5ddd\u666e\u8054\u4fc4\u8def\u7ebf\u91cd\u751f?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u3000\u3000<\/a><\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5c3c\u514b\u68ee\u603b\u7edf\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u987e\u95ee\u53ca\u56fd\u52a1\u537f\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\uff0c\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u5ddd\u666e\u5728\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u4e0a\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u8c0b\u58eb\uff0c\u81ea\u53bb\u5e7412\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u76db\u4f20\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\u79c1\u5e95\u4e0b\u5411\u5ddd\u666e\u63d0\u4f9b\u8054\u4fc4\u8def\u7ebf\u5efa\u8bae\u3002
\n\u56fe\/\u8def\u900f\u793e<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u3010\u718a\u732b\u773c\u30115\u670814\u65e5\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d69\u6d69\u6c64\u6c64\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u4e3e\u884c\u300c\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u56fd\u9645\u9ad8\u5cf0\u5408\u4f5c\u8bba\u575b\u300d\u3002\u4f1a\u573a\u867d\u7136\u51a0\u76d6\u4e91\u96c6\uff0c\u4f46\u4ec5\u670928\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u662f\u56fd\u5bb6\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u6216\u653f\u5e9c\u9996\u8111\u51fa\u5e2d\uff0c\u8fd8\u4e0d\u53ca\u53c2\u4e0e\u6574\u4e2a\u300c\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u300d\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e4b\u534a\u6570\u3002\u800c\u5728\u8fd928\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e2d\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u610f\u5927\u5229\u5c5e\u4e8e\u300c\u4e03\u56fd\u96c6\u56e2\u300d(G7)\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u4e00\u4e2a\u52c9\u5f3a\u5c5e\u4e8e\u897f\u6b27\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u3002\u5176\u9980\u6b27\u6d32\u4e3b\u8981\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e76\u672a\u6d3e\u9063\u5982\u6b64\u9ad8\u7ea7\u522b\u7684\u5b98\u5458\u4ee3\u8868\u51fa\u5e2d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u4e0e\u6b64\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7531\u603b\u7edf\u666e\u4e01(Vladimir
\nPutin)\u4eb2\u81ea\u51fa\u5e2d\u3002\u4f46\u5c31\u5728\u8bba\u575b\u4e3e\u884c\u524d\u4e0d\u4e45\uff0c\u7f8e\u4e1c\u65f6\u95f45\u670810\u65e5\uff0c\u521a\u628a\u51c6\u5907\u6269\u5927\u8c03\u67e5\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4ecb\u5165\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u9009\u7684\u8054\u90a6\u8c03\u67e5\u5c40(FBI)\u5c40\u957f\u79d1\u7c73(James
\nComey)\u514d\u804c\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5ddd\u666e(Donald Trump)\uff0c\u5728\u767d\u5bab\u7684\u603b\u7edf\u529e\u516c\u5ba4(Oval Office)\u63a5\u89c1\u4e86\u4fc4\u56fd\u5916\u957f\u62c9\u592b\u7f57\u592b(Sergei
\nLavrov)\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f20\u95fb\u4e2d\u5c45\u4e2d\u8054\u7e6b\u5ddd\u666e\u4e0e\u4fc4\u56fd\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u9a7b\u7f8e\u5927\u4f7f\u5b63\u745f\u96c5\u514b(Sergei
\nKislyak)\u3002\u4f1a\u540e\uff0c\u5ddd\u666e\u5ba3\u79f0\uff0c\u4e0e\u62c9\u592b\u7f57\u592b\u9488\u5bf9\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u7684\u4f1a\u8c08\u8fdb\u5c55\u975e\u5e38\u826f\u597d\uff0c\u7f8e\u4fc4\u5df2\u51b3\u5b9a\u5c3d\u5feb\u5408\u4f5c\u505c\u6b62\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u5883\u5185\u7684\u6218\u706b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u4f46\u8ba9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5a92\u4f53\u611f\u5230\u66f4\u60ca\u8bb6\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5ddd\u666e\u5728\u540c\u4e00\u5929\u53c8\u4e0e\u5c3c\u514b\u68ee(Richard Nixon)\u603b\u7edf\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u987e\u95ee\u53ca\u56fd\u52a1\u537f\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409(Henry
\nKissinger)\uff0c\u8fdb\u884c\u672a\u7ecf\u516c\u5f00\u5b89\u6392\u7684\u4f1a\u9762\u3002\u636e\u5ddd\u666e\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e24\u4eba\u4e5f\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e86\u4e0e\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u91cd\u8981\u8bae\u9898\u3002\u8fd9\u8ba9\u4eba\u8054\u60f3\u5230\uff0c\u5ddd\u666e\u53ef\u80fd\u6b63\u5728\u91cd\u65b0\u90e8\u7f72\u4e0a\u4efb\u4e4b\u524d\u5c31\u5df2\u76db\u4f20\u7684\u8054\u4fc4\u8def\u7ebf\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

\u3000\u30005\u670810\u65e5\uff0c\u5ddd\u666e\u5ba3\u5e03\u514d\u804c\u51c6\u5907\u6269\u5927\u8c03\u67e5\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4ecb\u5165\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u9009\u7684\u8054\u90a6\u8c03\u67e5\u5c40\u5c40\u957f\u79d1\u7c73\uff0c\u5e76\u4e8e\u540c\u4e00\u5929\u63a5\u89c1\u4e86\u4fc4\u56fd\u5916\u957f\u62c9\u592b\u7f57\u592b(\u5de6\u4e00)\u3002 \u56fe\/\u7f8e\u8054\u793e<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u9ad8\u9f84\u4e5d\u5341\u56db\u5c81\u7684\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u957f\u671f\u5bf9\u5171\u548c\u515a\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u5708\u62e5\u6709\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u8fd8\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u5ddd\u666e\u5728\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u4e0a\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u8c0b\u58eb\u3002\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\u662f1970\u5e74\u4ee3\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e3a\u4e86\u300c\u8054\u4e2d\u5236\u82cf\u300d\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u4e24\u5cb8\u5173\u7cfb\u300c\u8f6c\u5411\u300d\u7684\u6700\u5173\u952e\u4eba\u7269\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f4d\u300c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u7684\u8001\u670b\u53cb\u300d\u5728\u5ddd\u666e\u5f53\u9009\u540e\uff0c\u59cb\u7ec8\u5f3a\u8c03\u7ef4\u6301\u826f\u597d\u7684\u7f8e\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u636e\u8bf4\u8fd8\u66fe\u65a5\u8d23\u5ddd\u666e\u53bb\u5e7412\u6708\u521d\u4e0e\u8521\u82f1\u6587\u603b\u7edf\u7684\u7535\u8bdd\u5bf9\u8c08\u4e3a\u300c\u4e0d\u667a\u300d\u3002\u6709\u65e5\u672c\u5a92\u4f53\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\u624d\u662f\u5ddd\u666e\u57282\u67089\u65e5\u300c\u7ec8\u4e8e\u300d\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u4e3e\u884c\u53cc\u8fb9\u7535\u8bdd\u4f1a\u8c08\uff0c\u5e76\u627f\u8bfa\u4f1a\u300c\u9075\u5b88\u300d(honor)\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u300c\u4e00\u4e2d\u653f\u7b56\u300d\u7684\u771f\u6b63\u5e55\u540e\u63a8\u624b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7136\u800c\u81ea\u53bb\u5e7412\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u76db\u4f20\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\u79c1\u5e95\u4e0b\u5411\u5ddd\u666e\u63d0\u4f9b\u8054\u4fc4\u8def\u7ebf\u5efa\u8bae\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u300a\u534e\u76db\u987f\u90ae\u62a5\u300b\u524d\u9a7b\u5317\u4eac\u8bb0\u8005\u6f58\u6587(John
\nPomfret)\uff0c\u5728\u53bb\u5e7412\u6708\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u5c31\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\u57281972\u5e74\u966a\u540c\u5c3c\u514b\u68ee\u8bbf\u534e\u540e\u66fe\u9884\u8a00\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u8ddf\u4fc4\u56fd\u4eba\u4e00\u6837\u300c\u5371\u9669\u300d\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5c3c\u514b\u68ee\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u603b\u7edf\u591f\u806a\u660e\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u8054\u5408\u4fc4\u56fd\u5bf9\u6297\u4e2d\u56fd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u97e9\u56fd\u300a\u4e2d\u592e\u65e5\u62a5\u300b\u65e5\u6587\u7248\u751a\u81f3\u57281\u670823\u65e5\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u4e13\u680f\u5ba3\u79f0\uff0c\u5ddd\u666e\u5728\u4e0e\u8521\u82f1\u6587\u603b\u7edf\u901a\u8bdd\u524d\uff0c\u66fe\u5c31\u8be5\u884c\u52a8\u4e0e\u300c\u4e00\u4e2d\u653f\u7b56\u300d\u7684\u5173\u8fde\u5fb5\u8be2\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\uff0c\u540e\u8005\u5374\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6bd4\u8d77\u300c\u4e24\u4e2a\u4e2d\u56fd\u300d(\u53f0\u5317\u4e0e\u5317\u4eac)\uff0c\u8ba9\u300c\u5927\u4e2d\u534e\u5708\u300d\u518d\u589e\u52a0\u66f4\u591a\u72ec\u7acb\u653f\u6cbb\u5b9e\u4f53\u7684\u300c\u4e09\u4e2a\u4e2d\u56fd\u300d\uff0c\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca\u66f4\u6709\u597d\u5904\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u97e9\u56fd\u300a\u4e2d\u592e\u65e5\u62a5\u300b\u62a5\u5bfc\uff0c\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\u66fe\u5bf9\u5ddd\u666e\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6bd4\u8d77\u300c\u4e24\u4e2a\u4e2d\u56fd\u300d(\u53f0\u5317\u4e0e\u5317\u4eac)\uff0c\u8ba9\u300c\u5927\u4e2d\u534e\u5708\u300d\u518d\u589e\u52a0\u66f4\u591a\u72ec\u7acb\u653f\u6cbb\u5b9e\u4f53\u7684\u300c\u4e09\u4e2a\u4e2d\u56fd\u300d\uff0c\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca\u66f4\u6709\u597d\u5904\u3002
\n\u56fe\/\u7f8e\u8054\u793e<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5728\u6240\u6709\u300c\u8f6c\u5411\u300d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af(pivot to
\nAsia)\u7684\u4f20\u95fb\u4e2d\uff0c\u6700\u5927\u80c6\u4e5f\u6700\u5177\u4f53\u7684\uff0c\u5f53\u5c5e2016\u5e7412\u670826\u65e5\u5fb7\u56fd\u300a\u753b\u62a5\u300b(BILD)\u7684\u62a5\u5bfc\uff0c\u8be5\u6587\u79f0\u6839\u636e\u300c\u897f\u6b27\u60c5\u62a5\u673a\u6784\u300d\u5bf9\u6765\u81ea\u5ddd\u666e\u56e2\u961f\u7684\u8d44\u8baf\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8003\u91cf\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u6398\u8d77\uff0c\u7f8e\u4fc4\u4e24\u5927\u6838\u6b66\u56fd\u91cd\u8fd4\u51b7\u6218\u7684\u300c\u4e24\u6781\u300d\u4f53\u7cfb\u6709\u52a9\u7ef4\u6301\u5168\u7403\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u5e76\u6307\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u4fee\u8865\u7f8e\u4fc4\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e94\u89e3\u9664\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5185\u6218\u5bf9\u4fc4\u56fd\u65bd\u52a0\u7684\u5236\u88c1\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u627f\u8ba4\u4fc4\u56fd\u4e4b\u52bf\u529b\u8303\u56f4\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u5df2\u7ecf\u52a0\u5165\u5317\u7ea6(NATO)\u7684\u6ce2\u7f57\u7684\u6d77\u4e09\u56fd\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u5305\u542b\u524d\u82cf\u8054\u52a0\u76df\u5171\u548c\u56fd\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f0a\u6717\u3001\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u7b49\u56fd\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\uff0c\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4fc4\u56fd\u5e94\u4fdd\u8bc1\u5bfb\u6c42\u72ec\u7acb\u4e4b\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4e1c\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5b89\u5168\uff0c\u4f46\u9010\u6b65\u64a4\u51fa\u8be5\u5730;\u4f5c\u4e3a\u56de\u62a5\uff0c\u897f\u65b9\u4e0d\u518d\u4ecb\u5165\u514b\u91cc\u7c73\u4e9a\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6b63\u5f0f\u627f\u8ba4\u4fc4\u56fd\u4f75\u541e\u8be5\u5730\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u8fd9\u5219\u62a5\u5bfc\u5e76\u672a\u89c1\u8bf8\u897f\u65b9\u4e3b\u6d41\u5a92\u4f53\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u6240\u6d89\u53ca\u7684\u4e1c\u6b27\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u7b49\u5730\uff0c\u5747\u6709\u5e7f\u6cdb\u6d41\u4f20\u3002\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5ddd\u666e\u66fe\u5728\u5c31\u804c\u524d\u76841\u670813\u65e5\uff0c\u63a5\u53d7\u82f1\u56fd\u300a\u6cf0\u6664\u58eb\u62a5\u300b(The
\nTimes)\u548c\u5fb7\u56fd\u300a\u753b\u62a5\u300b\u7684\u8054\u5408\u4e13\u8bbf\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u80fd\u5426\u4e0e\u4fc4\u56fd\u8fbe\u6210\u65b0\u6838\u6b66\u88c1\u51cf\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5c06\u662f\u89e3\u9664\u5bf9\u4fc4\u56fd\u5236\u88c1\u7684\u8003\u91cf\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u8fd9\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6697\u793a\u300a\u753b\u62a5\u300b\u62a5\u5bfc\u7684\u300c\u4e24\u6781\u4f53\u7cfb\u300d\u65b9\u6848\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u800c\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\u8fd9\u6b21\u63a5\u5728\u62c9\u592b\u7f57\u592b\u7b49\u4eba\u4e4b\u540e\u4e0e\u5ddd\u666e\u89c1\u9762\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u8c08\u8bba\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u7f8e\u4fc4\u5173\u7cfb\u663e\u7136\u662f\u4e24\u4eba\u4f1a\u8c08\u7684\u4e3b\u8f74\u3002\u4f46\u5ddd\u666e\u4e0a\u4efb\u540e\u96c6\u4e2d\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u4e8e\u5317\u97e9\u6838\u6b66\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u5e76\u5df2\u4e3e\u884c\u8fc7\u5ddd\u4e60\u4f1a\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5408\u529b\u5e94\u5bf9\u5317\u97e9\u7684\u6001\u52bf\uff0c\u5357\u6d77\u8bae\u9898\u66f4\u5df2\u7ecf\u5e73\u9759\u5c06\u8fd1\u534a\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u603b\u4e4b\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u5c40\u52bf\u4e0e\u5ddd\u666e\u5c31\u804c\u524d\u5df2\u5927\u4e3a\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\u7eb5\u4f7f\u8fd8\u4e3b\u5f20\u8054\u4fc4\u8def\u7ebf\uff0c\u76ee\u7684\u7a76\u7adf\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebd\u5462?\u672c\u6587\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4eb2\u4fc4\u8def\u7ebf\u85c9\u7531\u6311\u8d77\u4fc4\u4e2d\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7ade\u4e89\uff0c\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u4e3a\u4e2d\u4fc4\u90fd\u60f3\u4e89\u53d6\u7684\u5173\u952e\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u547c\u5e94\u5ddd\u666e\u300c\u8ba9\u7f8e\u56fd\u518d\u5ea6\u4f1f\u5927\u300d\u7684\u53e3\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000<\/a><\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8003\u91cf\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u6398\u8d77\uff0c\u7f8e\u4fc4\u4e24\u5927\u6838\u6b66\u56fd\u91cd\u8fd4\u51b7\u6218\u7684\u300c\u4e24\u6781\u300d\u4f53\u7cfb\u6709\u52a9\u7ef4\u6301\u5168\u7403\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002 \u56fe\/\u8def\u900f\u793e<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\u5bf9\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u89c2\u70b9\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u5f3a\u8c03\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\uff0c\u4ee5\u51cf\u5c11\u4f53\u7cfb\u51fa\u73b0\u5bf9\u79e9\u5e8f\u4e0d\u6ee1\u7684\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u5219\u8bb2\u7a76\u4ee5\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u534f\u52a9\u6743\u529b\u5e73\u8861\u7684\u8fbe\u6210\u3002\u4e24\u8005\u5408\u529b\u7ef4\u6301\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d\u4e0e\u4fdd\u969c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u4ed6\u57281970\u5e74\u4ee3\u4fc3\u6210\u7f8e\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\uff0c\u4ee5\u8054\u624b\u56f4\u5835\u82cf\u8054\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u63a8\u52a8\u4e0e\u4e24\u5927\u5171\u4ea7\u56fd\u5bb6\u6539\u5584\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u300c\u4f4e\u76ea\u300d(D\u00e9tente)\u4f5c\u6cd5\uff0c\u5373\u662f\u8bc1\u660e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u51b7\u6218\u7ed3\u675f\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u4fc4\u90fd\u6210\u4e3a\u5bf9\u73b0\u72b6\u4e0d\u6ee1\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u4e24\u56fd\u57281997\u5e7411\u6708\u7b7e\u7f72\u300a\u4e2d\u4fc4\u5173\u4e8e\u4e16\u754c\u591a\u6781\u5316\u548c\u5efa\u7acb\u56fd\u9645\u65b0\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u8054\u5408\u58f0\u660e\u300b\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u300c\u591a\u6781\u5316\u300d\u6210\u4e3a\u53cc\u65b9\u5408\u4f5c\u5bf9\u6297\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u300c\u5355\u6781\u300d\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u4f18\u5148\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u4fc4\u56fd\u80fd\u518d\u5ea6\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e73\u8d77\u5e73\u5750\uff0c\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u63a8\u52a8\u300c\u591a\u6781\u5316\u300d\u5417?\u91cd\u5efa\u7f8e\u4fc4\u4e24\u6781\u4f53\u7cfb\uff0c\u5373\u662f\u5207\u65ad\u4e2d\u4fc4\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u8ba9\u5f7c\u6b64\u4e0d\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u5bf9\u65b9\u80fd\u591f\u501a\u9760\u7684\u6218\u7565\u300c\u5927\u540e\u65b9\u300d\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u786e\u4fdd\u7f8e\u4fc4\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u885d\u7a81\u80fd\u964d\u5230\u6700\u4f4e\u3002\u8ba9\u4fc4\u4e2d\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u885d\u7a81\u5c16\u9510\u5316\uff0c\u85c9\u6b64\u51cf\u5c11\u5bf9\u4f53\u7cfb\u79e9\u5e8f\u4e0d\u6ee1\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u4f9d\u7136\u662f\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\u7684\u8001\u5957\u8def\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u91cd\u5efa\u7f8e\u4fc4\u4e24\u6781\u4f53\u7cfb\uff0c\u5373\u662f\u5207\u65ad\u4e2d\u4fc4\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u7f8e\u4fc4\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u885d\u7a81\u80fd\u964d\u5230\u6700\u4f4e\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u786e\u4fdd\u7f8e\u4fc4\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u885d\u7a81\u80fd\u964d\u5230\u6700\u4f4e\u3002 \u56fe\/\u6b27\u65b0\u793e<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u9ad8\u8c03\u8fdb\u884c\u4e2d\u7684\u300c\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u300d\uff0c\u6db5\u76d6\u4e2d\u4e9a\u3001\u8fd1\u4e1c\u4e0e\u4e1c\u6b27\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5730\u65b9\u5927\u591a\u6570\u81ea19\u4e16\u7eaa\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u90fd\u66fe\u662f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5e1d\u56fd\u4e0e\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u9886\u571f\uff0c\u6216\u66fe\u7ecf\u662f\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u52bf\u529b\u8303\u56f4\uff0c\u53c8\u6216\u662f\u4e9f\u6b32\u67d3\u6307\u7684\u7981\u8114\u3002\u7136\u800c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5728\u300c\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u300d\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\u76f8\u5f53\u5c34\u5c2c\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u4e0a\u8ff0\u5730\u533a\u6269\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u65e9\u6709\u6212\u5fc3\uff0c\u4e5f\u63d0\u51fa\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u300c\u6b27\u4e9a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8054\u76df\u300d(Eurasian
\nEconomic Union)\u5021\u8bae\uff0c\u57282014\u5e745\u670829\u65e5\u6b63\u5f0f\u5373\u4e0e\u767d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u54c8\u8428\u514b\u7b7e\u7f72\u300a\u6b27\u4e9a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8054\u76df\u6761\u7ea6\u300b\uff0c\u5e76\u4e8e2015\u5e74\u5143\u65e6\u6b63\u5f0f\u542f\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u4e2d\u4fc4\u867d\u7136\u968f\u5373\u57282015\u5e745\u67088\u65e5\u7b7e\u7f72\u300a\u4e2d\u4fc4\u5173\u4e8e\u4e1d\u7ef8\u4e4b\u8def\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e26\u5efa\u8bbe\u548c\u6b27\u4e9a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8054\u76df\u5efa\u8bbe\u5bf9\u63a5\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u8054\u5408\u58f0\u660e\u300b\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u8fdb\u5ea6\u7f13\u6162\uff0c\u76f4\u52302016\u5e745\u670831\u65e5\uff0c\u6b27\u4e9a\u8054\u76df\u624d\u51b3\u5b9a\u6b63\u5f0f\u542f\u52a8\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u8d38\u5408\u4f5c\u4f19\u4f34\u534f\u5b9a\u8c08\u5224\uff0c\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4e24\u5e74\u7684\u8c08\u5224\u65f6\u7a0b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000<\/a><\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u9ad8\u8c03\u8fdb\u884c\u4e2d\u7684\u300c\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u300d\uff0c\u6db5\u76d6\u4e2d\u4e9a\u3001\u8fd1\u4e1c\u4e0e\u4e1c\u6b27\u3002\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5728\u300c\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u300d\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\u5219\u663e\u5f97\u5c34\u5c2c\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u4e0a\u8ff0\u5730\u533a\u6269\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u65e9\u6709\u6212\u5fc3\u3002 \u56fe\/\u7f8e\u8054\u793e<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6216\u8bb8\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u7a00\u91ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u666e\u4e01\u53c8\u57282016\u5e746\u670817\u65e5\u5021\u5bfc\u300c\u5927\u6b27\u4e9a\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\u300d\uff0c\u8868\u793a\u9664\u4e86\u6b27\u4e9a\u8054\u76df\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5916\uff0c\u4e5f\u5e94\u8be5\u628a\u5370\u5ea6\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u6ca1\u6709\u53c2\u52a0\u6b27\u4e9a\u8054\u76df\u7684\u72ec\u8054\u4f53\u5404\u56fd\u7eb3\u5165\u4e00\u4f53\u5316\u6846\u67b6\u5185\u3002\u540c\u670823\u65e5\uff0c\u300c\u4e0a\u6d77\u5408\u4f5c\u7ec4\u7ec7\u300d\u53c8\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0b\uff0c\u62c5\u5fe7\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u5177\u6709\u5f3a\u70c8\u7684\u300c\u53cd\u897f\u65b9\u300d\u503e\u5411\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u62d2\u7edd\u4e86\u7531\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u652f\u6301\u7684\u4f0a\u6717\u6210\u4e3a\u6b63\u5f0f\u4f1a\u5458\u56fd\u3002\u8fd9\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u4fc4\u867d\u7136\u53f7\u79f0\u6709\u9ad8\u5ea6\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u4e92\u4fe1\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u79cd\u300c\u4e92\u4fe1\u300d\u6765\u81ea\u5171\u540c\u53cd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e3b\u5bfc\u56fd\u9645\u79e9\u5e8f\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u5728\u6b27\u4e9a\u5927\u9646\u5176\u9980\u5730\u533a\u5219\u5b58\u5728\u53ef\u89c2\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u77db\u76fe\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u6b63\u9010\u6e10\u8d85\u8d8a\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\uff0c\u8feb\u4f7f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u62c9\u5165\u66f4\u591a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6765\u7a00\u91ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u4fc4\u56fd\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u5374\u4e5f\u56e0\u6b64\u66f4\u52a0\u4f4e\u843d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5728\u51b7\u6218\u540e\u7684\u56fd\u754c\uff0c\u4e0e\u4e8c\u6218\u65f6\u5fb7\u519b\u57281942\u5e747\u6708\u7684\u6218\u7ebf\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u76f8\u5dee\u592a\u591a\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e0d\u5b89\u7684\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u6839\u6e90\u3002\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u56fd\u613f\u610f\u5728\u6b27\u4e9a\u5927\u9646\u505a\u51fa\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u727a\u7272\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7684\u300a\u753b\u62a5\u300b\u62a5\u5bfc\u7684\u5185\u5bb9;\u6216\u5982\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5927\u5b66\u77e5\u540d\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u8005\u7c73\u5c14\u65af\u6d77\u9ed8(John
\nMearsheimer)\u4e3b\u5f20\uff0c\u64a4\u51fa\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5468\u8fb9\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u505c\u6b62\u5bf9\u4ed6\u4eec\u300c\u8f93\u51fa\u6c11\u4e3b\u300d\uff0c\u5e76\u8ba9\u4fc4\u56fd\u4e3b\u5bfc\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u548c\u5e73\u8fdb\u7a0b;\u53c8\u6216\u8005\uff0c\u5982\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u82f1\u7c4d\u8bb2\u5ea7\u6559\u6388\u5f17\u683c\u68ee(Niall
\nFerguson)\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u5728\u4e1c\u6b27\u4ee5\u89e3\u9664\u5bf9\u4fc4\u5236\u88c1\u3001\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4e2d\u7acb\u5316\uff0c\u5e76\u8ba9\u514b\u91cc\u7c73\u4e9a\u4e8e\u5916\u56fd\u76d1\u7763\u4e0b\u518d\u5ea6\u4e3e\u884c\u516c\u6295\u7b49\u51e0\u70b9\u4e3a\u6838\u5fc3\u7684\u7f8e\u6b27\u4fc4\u548c\u89e3\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u85c9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8ba9\u6b65\uff0c\u6ee1\u8db3\u666e\u4e01\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u52bf\u529b\u8303\u56f4\u7684\u6e34\u671b\uff0c\u4fbf\u6709\u671b\u8fbe\u6210\u7f8e\u4fc4\u548c\u89e3\u4e0e\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u8ba9\u4fc4\u56fd\u964d\u4f4e\u65e0\u8bba\u5728\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u6216\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u52a8\u673a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u4e00\u65e6\u4e2d\u4fc4\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u885d\u7a81\u5c16\u9510\u5316\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u96be\u4ee5\u540c\u65f6\u5728\u6d77\u9646\u4e24\u65b9\u4e0e\u7f8e\u4fc4\u654c\u5bf9\uff0c\u52bf\u5fc5\u8981\u6709\u6240\u9009\u62e9\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u627f\u8bfa\u8ba9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5c06\u524d\u82cf\u8054\u52a0\u76df\u5171\u548c\u91cd\u65b0\u4f5c\u4e3a\u52bf\u529b\u8303\u56f4\uff0c\u8870\u9000\u4e2d\u7684\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u80fd\u5426\u6392\u9664\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5e72\u6270\u800c\u300c\u541e\u4e0b\u300d\u5e76\u6210\u529f\u300c\u6d88\u5316\u300d?\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u53cd\u800c\u53ef\u80fd\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u885d\u7a81\uff0c\u800c\u5fc5\u987b\u5bfb\u6c42\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u534f\u52a9\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u4e2d\u4fc4\u4e89\u76f8\u62c9\u62e2\u7684\u5173\u952e\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u4e0a\u8ff0\u5404\u79cd\u8054\u4fc4\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u5728\u73af\u5883\u5df2\u53d1\u751f\u5de8\u5927\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u4eca\u65e5\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u8fd8\u5177\u6709\u610f\u4e49?\u7b54\u6848\u5e94\u8be5\u662f\u80af\u5b9a\u7684\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u4ee5\u5317\u97e9\u6838\u6b66\u95ee\u9898\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5317\u97e9\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u552f\u4e8c\u9646\u5730\u90bb\u56fd\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u53c8\u662f\u5317\u97e9\u76ee\u524d\u6781\u529b\u62c9\u62e2\u7684\u5bf9\u8c61\uff0c\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u4e0d\u53ef\u5ffd\u89c6\u3002\u800c\u767d\u5bab\u9488\u5bf9\u5ddd\u666e\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5916\u957f\u62c9\u592b\u7f57\u592b\u4f1a\u8c08\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u7a3f\u5ba3\u79f0\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5ddd\u666e\u8fd8\u4e0e\u62c9\u592b\u7f57\u592b\u8c08\u4e86\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5185\u6218\uff0c\u4f20\u8fbe\u7f8e\u56fd\u89e3\u51b3\u8be5\u8bae\u9898\u7684\u51b3\u5fc3\uff0c\u5e76\u8981\u6c42\u4fc4\u56fd\u9075\u5b88\u4e3a\u89e3\u51b3\u8be5\u8bae\u9898\u4e0e\u897f\u65b9\u8fbe\u6210\u7684\u300a\u660e\u65af\u514b\u534f\u8bae\u300b(Minsk
\nagreement)\u3002\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u52a1\u537f\u8482\u52d2\u68ee\u57284\u6708\u4e2d\u8bbf\u95ee\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u65f6\u76f8\u8f83\uff0c\u4fc4\u65b9\u5c06\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u3001\u5317\u97e9\u3001\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4e09\u8005\u7ed1\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\u4f1a\u8c08\uff0c\u5317\u97e9\u4e0e\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4ecd\u672a\u8131\u94a9\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u4e8e\u672a\u6765\u5317\u97e9\u6838\u6b66\u8bae\u9898\u7684\u89d2\u529b\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7136\u800c\u82e5\u8981\u4e25\u8083\u8003\u8651\u8054\u4fc4\u8def\u7ebf\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u83c1\u82f1\u9996\u5148\u5fc5\u987b\u89e3\u51b3\u4e00\u4e2a\u6700\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff1a\u4fc4\u56fd\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u5728\u5176\u5168\u7403\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u60f3\u50cf\u4e2d\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u5c45\u4e8e\u4ec0\u9ebd\u6837\u7684\u89d2\u8272?\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u82e5\u672a\u89e3\u51b3\uff0c\u5373\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u8054\u4fc4\u53ef\u884c\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5982\u679c\u6309\u7167\u4e0e\u5b63\u8f9b\u5409\u63a5\u8fd1\u7684\u5f17\u683c\u68ee\u7684\u8def\u7ebf\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u4e0e\u4e2d\u4fc4\u5efa\u7acb\u6bd4\u4ed6\u4eec\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u66f4\u4e3a\u7d27\u5bc6\u7684\u53cc\u8fb9\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u8ba9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c45\u4e8e\u4e09\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u67a2\u7ebd\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5f97\u5230\u7684\u662f\u6743\u5b9c\u4e4b\u8ba1\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3001\u662f\u6781\u4e3a\u52a8\u6001\u7684\u6743\u529b\u5747\u8861\uff0c\u968f\u65f6\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u6539\u53d8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u53cd\u4e4b\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6309\u7167\u7c73\u5c14\u65af\u6d77\u9ed8\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u6218\u7565\u5c06\u4f1a\u5f7b\u5e95\u7531\u6b27\u6d32\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6539\u4e3a\u4e9a\u6d32\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff0c\u771f\u6b63\u6539\u53d8\u5176\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u60f3\u50cf\u7684\u300c\u5fc3\u7075\u5730\u56fe\u300d(mental
\nmap)\u3002\u7c73\u6c0f\u65e9\u5df2\u5728\u5341\u9980\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u4e8e\u4ed6\u77e5\u540d\u7684\u300c\u653b\u52bf\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e3b\u4e49\u300d(Offensive
\nRealism)\u4e2d\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5934\u53f7\u5bf9\u624b\uff0c\u662f\u6781\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u4e1c\u4e9a\u5efa\u7acb\u533a\u57df\u9738\u6743\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u8870\u9000\u4e2d\u3001\u65e0\u529b\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u5bfb\u6c42\u9738\u6743\u7684\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

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\u3000\u3000\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5ddd\u666e\u53ef\u80fd\u6253\u7b97\u518d\u5ea6\u63a8\u52a8\u8054\u4fc4\uff0c\u4f46\u8c01\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4eba\u4e8b\u4e0a\u7684\u53d8\u52a8\u662f\u5426\u53c8\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u653f\u7b56\u8def\u7ebf\u51fa\u73b0\u5357\u8f95\u5317\u8f99\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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