{"id":53663,"date":"2017-10-15T21:24:26","date_gmt":"2017-10-15T21:24:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/2017\/10\/15\/%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e8%b4%ad%e6%88%bf%e7%83%ad%e6%bd%ae%e8%83%8c%e5%90%8e%e3%80%80%e5%b9%b4%e8%bd%bb%e4%ba%ba%e7%bd%ae%e4%b8%9a%e4%b8%be%e6%ad%a5%e7%bb%b4%e8%89%b0\/"},"modified":"2017-10-15T21:24:26","modified_gmt":"2017-10-15T21:24:26","slug":"%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b2%e8%b4%ad%e6%88%bf%e7%83%ad%e6%bd%ae%e8%83%8c%e5%90%8e%e3%80%80%e5%b9%b4%e8%bd%bb%e4%ba%ba%e7%bd%ae%e4%b8%9a%e4%b8%be%e6%ad%a5%e7%bb%b4%e8%89%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/?p=53663","title":{"rendered":"\u6fb3\u6d32\u8d2d\u623f\u70ed\u6f6e\u80cc\u540e\u3000\u5e74\u8f7b\u4eba\u7f6e\u4e1a\u4e3e\u6b65\u7ef4\u8270"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u3000\u3000<a href=&quot;data\/attachment\/portal\/201710\/15\/212403bju3jeonjauv5u34.jpg&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot; style=&quot;line-height: 1.8em;&quot;><img src=&quot;data\/attachment\/portal\/201710\/15\/212403bju3jeonjauv5u34.jpg&quot;><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u3010\u718a\u732b\u65f6\u62a5\u8baf\u3011\u6fb3\u6d32\u5e74\u8f7b\u4eba\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u81ea\u6709\u7387\u5df2\u8dcc\u81f3\u5386\u53f2\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u7e41\u8363\u7684\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u70ed\u6f6e\u628a\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u8d76\u51fa\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u53ea\u7559\u4e0b\u6700\u5bcc\u6709\u7684\u8d2d\u623f\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u5728\u5229\u7387\u964d\u81f3\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u4f4e\u3001\u4f4f\u623f\u4f9b\u5e94\u77ed\u7f3a\u548c\u7a0e\u6536\u5236\u5ea6\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u5171\u540c\u4f5c\u7528\u4e0b\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u623f\u4ef7\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb15\u5e74\u88e1\u66b4\u6da8\u4e86\u8d85\u8fc7140%\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u6089\u5c3c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4f26\u6566\u548c\u7ebd\u7ea6\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u623f\u4ef7\u7b2c\u4e8c\u9ad8\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e03\u5e74\u8fde\u7eed\u88ab\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4eba\u667a\u5e93(Economist<br \/>\nIntelligence Unit)\u8bc4\u4e3a\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u6700\u5b9c\u5c45\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u58a8\u5c14\u672c\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u5374\u662f\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u623f\u4ef7\u6392\u540d\u7b2c\u516d\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u5e74\u8f7b\u4eba\u7684\u623f\u5c4b\u81ea\u6709\u7387\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff1a\u572825\u81f334\u5c81\u7684\u5e74\u8f7b\u4eba\u4e2d\uff0c\u53ea\u670945%\u7684\u4eba\u62e5\u6709\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\uff0c\u6bd420\u4e16\u7eaa80\u5e74\u4ee3\u4e0b\u964d\u4e8616\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u4ec5\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u5c31\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u8fd18\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u949c\u989d\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u63a8\u52a8\u5bb6\u5ead\u503a\u52a1\u521b\u4e0b\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u62d6\u7d2f\u4e86\u6fb3\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e26\u5e74\u6301\u7eed\u589e\u957f\u7684\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u968f\u8457\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u4eba\u9000\u4f11\u65f6\u4ecd\u6709\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u503a\u52a1\u6216\u79df\u623f\u5c45\u4f4f\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u83b7\u5f97\u9886\u53d6\u653f\u5e9c\u798f\u5229\u5f85\u9047\u7684\u8d44\u683c\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u524a\u5f31\u603b\u989d2.3\u4e07\u4ebf\u6fb3\u5143(\u7ea6\u54081.8\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143)\u7684\u517b\u8001\u91d1\u50a8\u84c4\u5236\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u300c\u6fb3\u6d32\u4eba\u62e5\u6709\u81ea\u5df1\u4f4f\u623f\u7684\u7f8e\u68a6\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u5669\u68a6\uff0c\u300d\u683c\u62c9\u5766\u5b66\u4f1a(Grattan Institute)\u7684\u623f\u5c4b\u653f\u7b56\u4e13\u5bb6\u79d1\u8328(Brendan<br \/>\nCoates)\u8bf4\uff0c\u300c\u8fd9\u5f52\u7ed3\u4e8e\u653f\u5e9c\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u96c6\u4f53\u5931\u8bef\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u9700\u898120\u5e74\u65f6\u95f4\u624d\u80fd\u89e3\u51b3\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u6fb3\u6d32\u56fd\u7acb\u5927\u5b66(Australian National<br \/>\nUniversity)\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u9009\u6c11\u5bf9\u4f4f\u623f\u8d1f\u62c5\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u4e0e\u65e5\u4ff1\u589e\uff1a\u51e0\u4e4e90%\u7684\u6fb3\u6d32\u4eba\u62c5\u5fc3\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4ee3\u4eba\u4e70\u4e0d\u8d77\u623f\u5b50\u3002\u65e0\u6cd5\u89e3\u51b3\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u95ee\u9898\u4f7f\u6fb3\u6d32\u653f\u5e9c\u538b\u529b\u500d\u589e\uff0c\u800c\u6b64\u524d\u7531\u4e8e\u6295\u8d44490\u4ebf\u6fb3\u5143\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u9ad8\u901f\u7f51\u7edc\u8bd5\u8fd0\u884c\u8868\u73b0\u4e0d\u4f73\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u653f\u7b56\u5931\u8bef\u5bfc\u81f4\u7535\u8d39\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u8ba9\u4eba\u4eec\u62c5\u5fe72017\u5e74\u590f\u5929\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u5927\u9762\u79ef\u505c\u7535\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u653f\u5e9c\u5df2\u7ecf\u53d7\u5230\u4e0d\u5c11\u6279\u8bc4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u7a0e\u6536\u4f18\u60e0\u628a\u4f4f\u623f\u53d8\u6210\u6295\u673a\u6027\u91d1\u878d\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u662f\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5bfc\u706b\u7d22\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u9996\u6b21\u7f6e\u4e1a\u8005\u4eec\u62b1\u6028\u79f0\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u65e0\u6cd5\u4e0e\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7ade\u4e89\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u79f0\u4e3a\u300c\u8d1f\u6263\u7a0e\u653f\u7b56\u300d\u7684\u7a0e\u6536\u4f18\u60e0\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u5305\u62ec\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u5229\u606f\u5728\u5185\u7684\u623f\u4ea7\u51fa\u79df\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u62b5\u6263\u5176\u4ed6\u6536\u5165\u6240\u7f34\u7eb3\u7684\u7a0e\u91d1\u30021999\u5e74\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u5229\u5f97\u7a0e\u964d\u4f4e\u4e8650%\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u5927\u5927\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\u623f\u4ef7\u4f1a\u4e00\u8def\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u7eb7\u7eb7\u8fdb\u5165\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u8d85\u8fc7200\u4e07\u7684\u6fb3\u6d32\u4eba(\u4f54\u6fb3\u6d32\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u5341\u4e8c\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00)\u62e5\u6709\u6295\u8d44\u6027\u623f\u4ea7\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u8fd130%\u7684\u4eba\u62e5\u6709\u4e24\u5904\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u7269\u4e1a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u300c\u4eba\u4eec\u7528\u4e8e\u507f\u8fd8\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u7684\u94b1\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u8457\u5176\u4ed6\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u8d8a\u5c11\uff0c\u8fd9\u62d6\u7d2f\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u300d\u8c18\u8be2\u516c\u53f8Capital<br \/>\nEconomics\u7684\u6fb3\u6d32\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u6234\u5c14\u65af(Paul<br \/>\nDales)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u300c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u503a\u52a1\u8d1f\u62c5\u6c89\u91cd\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u6da8\u4e0d\u4e86\u51e0\u6b21\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u5c31\u4f1a\u5f00\u59cb\u4eae\u8d77\u9ec4\u706f\u548c\u7ea2\u706f\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\uff0c\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u515a\u6d3e\u5bf9\u7acb\u56f0\u6270\u8457\u9996\u90fd\u582a\u57f9\u62c9\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u653f\u5e9c\u51b3\u7b56\u9677\u5165\u762b\u75ea\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u968f\u8457\u6089\u5c3c\u4f4f\u623f\u5747\u4ef7\u8d85\u8fc7100\u4e07\u6fb3\u5143\uff0c\u4f4f\u623f\u8d1f\u62c5\u80fd\u529b\u4e5f\u6ca6\u4e3a\u4e86\u515a\u4e89\u7684\u727a\u7272\u54c1\u3002\u57282016\u5e74\u7684\u8054\u90a6\u5927\u9009\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u53cd\u5bf9\u6d3e\u7684\u5de5\u515a\u63d0\u8bae\u6539\u53d8\u8d1f\u6263\u7a0e\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5c06\u5176\u53ea\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u65b0\u5efa\u623f\u5c4b\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u8d44\u672c\u5229\u5f97\u7a0e\u4f18\u60e0\uff0c\u800c\u6fb3\u6d32\u603b\u7406\u7279\u6069\u5e03\u5c14(Malcolm<br \/>\nTurnbull)\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u53cd\u51fb\uff0c\u4ed6\u6392\u9664\u4e86\u4efb\u4f55\u6539\u53d8\u8d1f\u6263\u7a0e\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6307\u8d23\u5de5\u515a\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u4f1a\u300c\u6c89\u91cd\u6253\u51fb\u300d\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u300c\u4f24\u5bb3\u300d\u5bb6\u5ead\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u6fb3\u6d325\u6708\u63a8\u51fa\u7684\u8054\u90a6\u9884\u7b97\u5305\u62ec\u65e8\u5728\u63d0\u9ad8\u4f4f\u623f\u8d1f\u62c5\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4e0d\u8fc7\u53ea\u662f\u9694\u9774\u6414\u75d2\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u5bf9\u7a7a\u7f6e\u79c1\u4eba\u4f4f\u623f\u7684\u6d77\u5916\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fb5\u6536\u7a7a\u7f6e\u7a0e\uff0c\u4e3a\u4f7f\u7528\u50a8\u84c4\u4e70\u623f\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u7f6e\u4e1a\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u7a0e\u6536\u4f18\u60e0\u3002\u5404\u5dde\u653f\u5e9c\u63a8\u51fa\u5370\u82b1\u7a0e\u4f18\u60e0\u6216\u8005\u4e3a\u9996\u6b21\u7f6e\u4e1a\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u8865\u8d34\u7b49\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u89e3\u51b3\u4f4f\u623f\u95ee\u9898\u6ca1\u8d77\u591a\u5c11\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63a8\u9ad8\u4e86\u623f\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u300c\u6211\u4eec\u6ca1\u6709\u529e\u6cd5\u5b8c\u5168\u628a\u9b54\u9b3c\u653e\u56de\u74f6\u5b50\u88e1\uff0c\u300d\u79d1\u8328\u8bf4\uff0c\u300c\u4f60\u89c1\u5230\u768435\u5c81\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7684\u7edd\u5927\u591a\u6570\u4eba\u90fd\u5f88\u96be\u300d\u4e70\u5f97\u8d77\u623f\u5b50\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u4ed6\u4eec\u662f\u9ad8\u6536\u5165\u7fa4\u4f53\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u653f\u754c\u4eba\u58eb\u4e5f\u53ea\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u6cbb\u6807\u4e0d\u6cbb\u672c\u7684\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u524d\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u957f\u970d\u57fa(Joe<br \/>\nHockey)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u8d39\u5c3d\u5468\u6298\u8fdb\u5165\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4e70\u5bb6\u5e94\u8be5\u300c\u627e\u4efd\u8d5a\u94b1\u591a\u7684\u597d\u5de5\u4f5c\u300d\u3002\u526f\u603b\u7406\u4e54\u4f0a\u65af(Barnaby<br \/>\nJoyce)\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u88ab\u9ad8\u623f\u4ef7\u8d76\u51fa\u6089\u5c3c\u7684\u4eba\u5e94\u8be5\u6709\u300c\u9b44\u529b\u300d\u642c\u5230\u4e61\u6751\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u5185\u9646\u5730\u533a\u6606\u58eb\u5170\u5dde\u7684\u67e5\u5c14\u7ef4\u5c14\uff0c\u5f53\u5730\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u53ea\u6709\u6089\u5c3c\u7684\u516d\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u53ef\u662f\u5e74\u8f7b\u4eba\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4f4d\u5c45\u5168\u56fd\u7b2c\u4e00\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u300c\u653f\u754c\u4eba\u58eb\u8fc4\u4eca\u4e3a\u6b62\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u53d7\u6b22\u8fce\u7684\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u957f\u671f\u6765\u770b\u6ca1\u6709\u6210\u6548\uff0c\u300d\u8036\u8328(Judith<br 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