{"id":55698,"date":"2018-02-22T21:10:57","date_gmt":"2018-02-22T21:10:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/2018\/02\/22\/%e6%99%ba%e5%ba%93%e5%90%81%e7%be%8e%e5%b0%8f%e5%bf%83%ef%bc%9a%e5%a4%a7%e9%99%86%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%8a%a2%e5%9c%a8%e5%8f%b0%e6%b9%be%e5%ae%a3%e5%b8%83%e7%8b%ac%e7%ab%8b%e5%89%8d%e5%8f%91%e5%8a%a8\/"},"modified":"2018-02-22T21:10:57","modified_gmt":"2018-02-22T21:10:57","slug":"%e6%99%ba%e5%ba%93%e5%90%81%e7%be%8e%e5%b0%8f%e5%bf%83%ef%bc%9a%e5%a4%a7%e9%99%86%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%8a%a2%e5%9c%a8%e5%8f%b0%e6%b9%be%e5%ae%a3%e5%b8%83%e7%8b%ac%e7%ab%8b%e5%89%8d%e5%8f%91%e5%8a%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/?p=55698","title":{"rendered":"\u667a\u5e93\u5401\u7f8e\u5c0f\u5fc3\uff1a\u5927\u9646\u53ef\u80fd\u62a2\u5728\u53f0\u6e7e\u5ba3\u5e03\u72ec\u7acb\u524d\u53d1\u52a8\u7a81\u88ad"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u3000\u3000\u3010\u718a\u732b\u65f6\u62a5\u8baf\u3011\u7f8e\u56fd\u667a\u5e93CSIS\u6700\u65b0\u62a5\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u5f3a\u6743\u51b2\u7a81\u4e2d\u51fa\u73b0\u610f\u5916\u5df2\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u5c31\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u62a2\u5728\u53f0\u6e7e\u5730\u533a\u53ef\u80fd\u5ba3\u5e03\u72ec\u7acb\u524d\uff0c\u5bf9\u53f0\u53d1\u52a8\u89e3\u653e\u884c\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u7f8e\u8054\u793e\u7f8e\u56fd\u667a\u5e93\u6218\u7565\u4e0e\u56fd\u9645\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3(CSIS)20\u65e5\u53d1\u8868\u6700\u65b0\u62a5\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u5f3a\u6743\u5df2\u670970\u591a\u5e74\u672a\u5f00\u6218\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u4fc4\u5d1b\u8d77\u6311\u6218\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5f3a\u6743\u95f4\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u7a81\u53d1\u884c\u52a8(surprise\uff0c\u6216\u79f0\u610f\u5916\u884c\u52a8)\uff0c\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u5217\u4e3e\u4e86\u56db\u5927\u7c7b18\u79cd\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u7a81\u53d1\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec\u4e2d\u56fd\u89e3\u653e\u53f0\u6e7e\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e1c\u4e9a\u76df\u56fd\u7cfb\u7edf\u5d29\u6e83\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000CSIS\u7684\u8fd9\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u957f\u8fbe\u767e\u9875\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u539f\u6587\u6807\u9898\u662f\u300c\u907f\u514d\u56e0\u5e94\u5f3a\u6743\u51b2\u7a81\u4e2d\u7684\u7a81\u53d1\u884c\u52a8\u300d(Avoiding Coping with Surprise in
\nGreat Power
\nConflicts)\u3002\u8be5\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5728\u6807\u9898\u4e0a\u7279\u610f\u5212\u6389\u300c\u907f\u514d(Avoiding)\u300d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8bcd\uff0c\u6539\u6210\u300c\u56e0\u5e94\u300d\uff0c\u547c\u5e94\u6587\u4e2d\u6240\u8bf4\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6b64\u65f6\u5e94\u79ef\u6781\u56e0\u5e94\u5f3a\u6743\u95f4\u7684\u7a81\u53d1\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u7c7b\u7a81\u53d1\u884c\u52a8\u5df2\u662f\u65e0\u6cd5\u907f\u514d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000<\/a><\/p>\n

        \u56fe\u64b7\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u667a\u5e93\u6218\u7565\u4e0e\u56fd\u9645\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3<\/p>\n

       \u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u8003\u91cf\u4e86\u4e09\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u6307\u51fa\u7f8e\u56fd\u76ee\u524d\u5904\u5883\u582a\u5fe7\uff1a\u4e00\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eab\u53d7\u7ea620-30\u5e74\u519b\u4e8b\u7edd\u5bf9\u4f18\u52bf\u540e\uff0c\u5982\u4eca\u4e2d\u4fc4\u4e24\u56fd\u53ef\u5728\u6240\u6709\u6218\u4e89\u9886\u57df\u6311\u6218\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728\u4e2d\u4fc4\u7684\u8fd1\u6d77\u533a\u57df;\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u5927\u56fd\u95f4\u591a\u5e74\u548c\u5e73\u4ee4\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ea7\u751f\u6301\u4e45\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u9519\u89c9;\u518d\u8005\uff0c\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u628a\u7a81\u53d1\u884c\u52a8\u5206\u6210\u56db\u7c7b\uff1a\u6218\u7565\u3001\u6280\u672f\u3001\u4f5c\u6218\u539f\u5219\u3001\u653f\u6cbb\/\u5916\u4ea4\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5927\u9646\u89e3\u653e\u53f0\u6e7e\u5c5e\u6218\u7565\u6027\u8d28\u7a81\u53d1\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u7a81\u88ad\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u66f4\u5177\u4f53\u8bf4\u660e\uff0c\u5927\u9646\u4f1a\u62a2\u5728\u53f0\u6e7e\u53ef\u80fd\u5ba3\u5e03\u72ec\u7acb\u524d\uff0c\u5bf9\u53f0\u53d1\u52a8\u7a81\u88ad\uff0c\u5c4a\u65f6\u4eba\u6c11\u89e3\u653e\u519b\u4f1a\u5728\u53f0\u5c9b\u5468\u56f4\u5efa\u7acb\u300c\u533a\u57df\u963b\u7edd\/\u53cd\u4ecb\u5165\u300d\u533a\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u4f1a\u653b\u51fb\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u7f8e\u519b\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u591a\u6570\u76df\u56fd\u5c4a\u65f6\u4f1a\u547c\u5401\u8c08\u5224\uff0c\u4e14\u5ba3\u5e03\u4e2d\u7acb\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e0d\u5229\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4f1a\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e0d\u53d1\u52a8\u53cd\u51fb\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u62a5\u544a\u5f15\u8ff0\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u7406\u8bba\u5bb6\u827e\u5229\u68ee(Graham
\nAllison)\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u56de\u987e\u8fc7\u53bb\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u57281950\u5e74\u52a0\u5165\u97e9\u6218\u65f6\uff0c\u624d\u521a\u7ed3\u675f\u5185\u6218\u4e0d\u4e45\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u6838\u6b66\uff0c\u5374\u8fce\u6218\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6838\u6b66\u5927\u56fd;\u5982\u4eca\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u73b0\u72b6\u4e0b\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u6218\u4e89\u98ce\u9669\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u540c\u5c5e\u6218\u7565\u7c7b\u7684\u7a81\u53d1\u884c\u52a8\u8fd8\u5305\u62ec\uff1a\u4fc4\u56fd\u5411\u6ce2\u7f57\u7684\u6d77\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d1\u52a8\u95ea\u7535\u6218\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u653b\u51fb\u8d8a\u5357\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u8fd8\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u519b\u53d1\u52a8\u5a01\u6151\u6027\u7f51\u7edc\u6218\uff0c\u5728\u88ad\u53f0\u524d\u5229\u7528\u9a87\u5165\u94f6\u884c\u5e10\u6237\u3001\u8c23\u8a00\u3001\u4f2a\u9020\u5f71\u97f3\u7b49\u624b\u6bb5\uff0c\u5e72\u6270\u7f8e\u519b\u7684\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u8ba9\u7f8e\u56fd\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u5bf9\u53f0\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u4e0d\u5177\u6b63\u5f53\u6027\uff0c\u5927\u9646\u53ef\u80fd\u8bd5\u56fe\u5728\u88ad\u53f0\u524d\u6697\u6740\u7f8e\u56fd\u9886\u8896\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u3000\u3000\u3010\u718a\u732b\u65f6\u62a5\u8baf\u3011\u7f8e\u56fd\u667a\u5e93CSIS\u6700\u65b0\u62a5\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u5f3a\u6743\u51b2\u7a81\u4e2d\u51fa\u73b0\u610f\u5916\u5df2\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u5c31\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u62a2\u5728\u53f0\u6e7e\u5730\u533a\u53ef\u80fd\u5ba3\u5e03\u72ec\u7acb\u524d\uff0c\u5bf9\u53f0\u53d1\u52a8\u89e3\u653e\u884c\u52a8\u3002     …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55698"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=55698"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55698\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=55698"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=55698"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=55698"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}