\u3010\u718a\u8c93\u773c\u3011\u4e2d\u570b\u570b\u5bb6\u7d71\u8a08\u5c404\u670817\u65e5\u516c\u5e03\uff0c2019\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u570b\u5167\u751f\u7522\u7e3d\u503c\uff08GDP\uff09\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u95776.4%\uff0c\u82072018\u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u6301\u5e73\u3002\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e9e\u6d32\u80a1\u5e02\u96a8\u4e4b\u666e\u904d\u4e0a\u63da\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u5c0d\u65bc\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u8868\u73fe\uff0c\u4e0d\u5c11\u897f\u65b9\u5a92\u9ad4\u7528\u4e86\u300c\u8d85\u4e4e\u9810\u60f3\u300d\u4e00\u8a5e\u4f86\u5f62\u5bb9\u3002\u8def\u900f\u793e\u7a31\uff0c\u9019\u8d85\u51fa\u4e86\u4eba\u5011\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u653e\u7de9\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u5247\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u300c\u51fa\u4e4e\u4eba\u7684\u610f\u6599\u300d\uff08unexpectedly\uff09\u3002\u300a\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u65e5\u5831\u300b\u7a31\uff0c\u9019\u4e00\u589e\u901f\u8981\u6bd4\u5f88\u591a\u7d93\u6fdf\u4eba\u58eb\u9810\u6e2c\u7684\u7565\u9ad8\u3002\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u6642\u5831\u300b\u4e5f\u7a31\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u589e\u901f\u5feb\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u897f\u65b9\u5a92\u9ad4\u4e5f\u5927\u591a\u80af\u5b9a\u4e86\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u8868\u73fe\uff0c\u8def\u900f\u793e\u7a31\uff0c\u9019\u8b93\u4eba\u5011\u6a02\u89c0\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u958b\u59cb\u8d70\u5411\u7a69\u5b9a\uff0c\u7de9\u89e3\u4e86\u4eba\u5011\u5c0d\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u7126\u616e\u3002\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u4e5f\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u901f\u8d85\u51fa\u9810\u671f\u6709\u52a9\u65bc\u7de9\u89e3\u5916\u754c\u5c0d\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u7684\u7126\u616e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u81f3\u65bc\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u8868\u73fe\u4e0d\u932f\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u570b\u5bb6\u7d71\u8a08\u5c40\u65b0\u805e\u767c\u8a00\u4eba\u6bdb\u76db\u52c7\u6307\u51fa\u6e1b\u7a05\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u300a\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u65e5\u5831\u300b\u4e5f\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u5e7e\u500b\u6708\u88e1\u63a1\u53d6\u4e86\u521d\u6b65\u63aa\u65bd\u4f86\u89e3\u6c7a\u5148\u9032\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6e1b\u7a05\u7b49\u3002\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u5b83\u4e5f\u5141\u8a31\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u52a0\u5927\u5c0d\u57fa\u5efa\u7684\u652f\u6301\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8a72\u5831\u5c0e\u9084\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u63d0\u5347\u5916\u754c\u4fe1\u5fc3\u7684\u9084\u6709\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u7684\u7de9\u548c\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e2d\u7f8e\u6709\u671b\u9054\u6210\u5354\u8b70\u6709\u52a9\u65bc\u63d0\u632f\u5546\u696d\u548c\u5e02\u5834\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u300a\u7d10\u7d04\u6642\u5831\u300b\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u662f\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u7a4d\u6975\u7684\u4fe1\u865f\u4e3b\u8981\u4f86\u81ea\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u8fd1\u5e7e\u500b\u6708\u5411\u8a72\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u6ce8\u5165\u7684\u6578\u5343\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u8cc7\u91d1\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b98\u54e1\u5011\u5411\u570b\u6709\u9280\u884c\u65bd\u58d3\u767c\u653e\u7684\u8cb8\u6b3e\u3002\u300a\u91d1\u878d\u6642\u5831\u300b\u63f4\u5f15\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\u8cc7\u7522\u7ba1\u7406\u516c\u53f8\u4e9e\u592a\u5e02\u5834\u9996\u5e2d\u7b56\u7565\u5e2b\u8a31\u9577\u6cf0\uff08Tai Hui\uff09\u7684\u8a71\u7a31\uff1a\u300c\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u7a69\u5b9a\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u6b63\u5728\u8d77\u6548\u3002\u300d\u300a\u7d10\u7d04\u6642\u5831\u300b\u5247\u63f4\u5f15\u9ea5\u683c\u7406\u96c6\u5718\u9996\u5e2d\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6Larry Hu\u7684\u8a71\u7a31\uff1a\u300c\u9019\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u52d5\u7528\u4e86\u58d3\u5012\u6027\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u4f86\u63d0\u632f\u7d93\u6fdf\u3002\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u7d93\u6fdf\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u4f01\u7a69\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u9999\u6e2fNatixis \u7684\u9ad8\u7d1a\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u5f90\u5efa\u5049\uff08\u97f3\u8b6f\uff09\u5c0d\u8def\u900f\u793e\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u300c\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u901f\u8207\u523a\u6fc0\u653f\u7b56\u6709\u95dc\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u4e0d\u80fd\u5b8c\u5168\u6b78\u529f\u65bc\u6b64\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u5118\u7ba1\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u8868\u73fe\u826f\u597d\uff0c\u4f46\u8def\u900f\u793e\u9084\u662f\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u7a31\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u51fa\u73fe\u4e86\u53ef\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u56de\u8f49\u9084\u70ba\u6642\u5c1a\u65e9\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u4ecd\u9700\u8981\u653f\u7b56\u652f\u63f4\u4ee5\u7dad\u6301\u589e\u9577\u7684\u52e2\u982d\u3002\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u9810\u6e2c\u57282019\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u7d93\u6fdf\u624d\u6703\u5fa9\u7526\u3002\u5f90\u5efa\u5049\uff08\u97f3\u8b6f\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u300c\u6211\u5011\u4ecd\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u591a\u8b49\u64da\u4f86\u8b49\u660e\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u5168\u9762\u5fa9\u7526\u3002\u6211\u5011\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u4f9d\u7136\u5f88\u8b39\u614e\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u8a72\u5831\u5c0e\u9084\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u4e0d\u518d\u50cf\u4ee5\u5f80\u90a3\u6a23\u671f\u5f85\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u8fc5\u901f\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u90fd\u662f\u76f8\u5c0d\u6709\u9650\u7684\u3002\u652f\u63f4\u63aa\u65bd\u4ecd\u9700\u8981\u6642\u9593\u624d\u80fd\u5b8c\u5168\u751f\u6548\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\u8cc7\u6599\u7a69\u5b9a\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5728\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u523a\u6fc0\u7d93\u6fdf\u554f\u984c\u4e0a\u66f4\u52a0\u8b39\u614e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u540c\u6a23\uff0c\u300a\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u65e5\u5831\u300b\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u4e2d\u570b\u51fa\u53f0\u4e86\u523a\u6fc0\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u652f\u6301\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u4ecd\u88ab\u7d93\u6fdf\u4eba\u58eb\u548c\u653f\u5e9c\u8a8d\u70ba\u6703\u7e7c\u7e8c\u653e\u7de9\u3002\u5317\u4eac\u5df2\u7d93\u5c072019\u5e74\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u901f\u6700\u4f4e\u8a2d\u5b9a\u70ba6%\u3002\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\u9999\u6e2fJPMorgan Chase & Co.\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6Grace Ng\u7a31\uff1a\u300c\u591a\u8667\u4e86\u6bd4\u9810\u671f\u597d\u7684\u9019\u4e9b\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u66f4\u6709\u4fe1\u5fc3\u4e86\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u4f46\u5979\u4e5f\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u300c\u5728\u653f\u7b56\u652f\u6301\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u6062\u5fa9\u8981\u6bd4\u9810\u671f\u7684\u65e9\u3002\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u500b\u6708\u88e1\uff0c\u5b8f\u89c0\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u6703\u6025\u5287\u7e2e\u6e1b\uff0c\u4f46\u540c\u6642\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6703\u6536\u7dca\u3002\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\u8ca1\u653f\u652f\u51fa\u5403\u91cd\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u8ca1\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5728\u5e74\u671f\u4e4b\u524d\u9010\u6f38\u53d6\u6d88\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u6469\u6839\u7d93\u6fdf\u5206\u6790\u5e2bRobin Xing \u8a8d\u70ba\uff1a\u300c\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u548c3\u6708\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u8b49\u5be6\u4e86\u76ee\u524d\u8655\u65bc\u9031\u671f\u6027\u7684\u8f49\u6369\u9ede\u3002\u5728\u5f37\u6709\u529b\u7684\u8ca1\u653f\u652f\u6301\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u6e96\u5099\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u8abf\u6703\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u5c11\u3002\u5728\u8ca1\u653f\u5bec\u9b06\u653f\u7b56\u771f\u6b63\u8d77\u6548\u3001\u8cbf\u6613\u7dca\u5f35\u5c40\u52e2\u7de9\u89e3\u548c\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6b63\u5e38\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u671f\u5f85\u7b2c\u4e8c\u3001\u7b2c\u4e09\u548c\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u7d93\u6fdf\u6703\u6709\u56de\u8f49\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Larry Hu\u5247\u5c0d\u300a\u7d10\u7d04\u6642\u5831\u300b\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u51fa\u73fe\u300c\u96d9\u5e95\u300d\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u5373\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u518d\u6b21\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u76f4\u81f3\u4eca\u5e74\u665a\u4e9b\u6642\u5019\u51fa\u73fe\u56de\u5347\u3002\u300c\u5fa9\u7526\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u90a3\u9ebc\u53ef\u9760\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\u5c31\u9810\u5148\u90e8\u7f72\u4e86\u653f\u7b56\u706b\u529b\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u300c\u4e2d\u570b\u5df2\u7d93\u8655\u65bc\u5168\u7403\u6709\u53f2\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4fe1\u8cb8\u6ce1\u6cab\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002\u300d\u52a0\u5dde\u5927\u5b78\u8056\u9054\u6208\u5206\u6821\u526f\u6559\u6388\u53f2\u5b97\u701a\uff08Victor Shih\uff09\u7d66\u51fa\u4e86\u63d0\u9192\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4ed6\u9084\u8aaa\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u4e00\u76f4\u672a\u80fd\u64fa\u812b\u8209\u50b5\u7684\u554f\u984c\u3002\u300c\u653f\u5e9c\u6839\u672c\u6c92\u8cc7\u672c\u53bb\u8003\u616e\u4e2d\u671f\uff0c\u5fc5\u9808\u5c08\u6ce8\u65bc\u4fe1\u8cb8\u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u77ed\u671f\u5ef6\u7e8c\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u4e2d\u570b\u570b\u5167\u516c\u4f48\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8cc7\u6599\u6709\u5229\u65bc\u63d0\u632f\u5e02\u5834\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002\u5176\u5be6\uff0c\u81ea4\u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u570b\u969b\u4e0a\u4e0d\u5c11\u6a5f\u69cb\u4e5f\u8abf\u6574\u4e86\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u9810\u671f\u30024\u67089\u65e5\uff0c\u570b\u969b\u8ca8\u5e63\u57fa\u91d1\u7d44\u7e54\uff08IMF\uff09\u5728\u4e0b\u8abf2019\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u901f\u9810\u671f\u7684\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u5c072019\u5e74\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u9810\u671f\u75316.2%\u4e0a\u8abf\u81f36.3%\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u6e1b\u7a05\u7b49\u8ca1\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u5c07\u523a\u6fc0\u589e\u9577\u3002\u82f1\u570b\u6ed9\u8c50\u9280\u884c4\u67088\u65e5\u767c\u4f48\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u5831\u544a\u9810\u8a08\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u4eca\u5e74\u5168\u5e74GDP\u589e\u901f\u5c07\u9054\u52306.6%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u4f46\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u901f\u4ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u5230\u5916\u90e8\u74b0\u5883\u7684\u5e72\u64fe\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5169\u570b\u5b98\u54e1\u5df2\u7d93\u9032\u884c\u4e869\u8f2a\u9ad8\u7d1a\u5225\u6703\u8ac7\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u65b9\u9762\u7a31\u96d9\u65b9\u8ac7\u5224\u63a5\u8fd1\u5b8c\u6210\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4f55\u6642\u7c3d\u7f72\u5354\u5b9a\u3001\u80fd\u5426\u771f\u6b63\u505c\u6b62\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\uff0c\u4ecd\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u5728\u5168\u7403\u6574\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0b\u884c\u58d3\u529b\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u57282019\u5e74\u8868\u73fe\u5982\u4f55\u4ecd\u8981\u770b\u4e2d\u570b\u5b98\u65b9\u7684\u8abf\u63a7\u548c\u5916\u90e8\u74b0\u5883\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u3010\u718a\u8c93\u773c\u3011\u4e2d\u570b\u570b\u5bb6\u7d71\u8a08\u5c404\u670817\u65e5\u516c\u5e03\uff0c2019\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u570b\u5167\u751f\u7522\u7e3d\u503c\uff08GDP\uff09\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u95776.4%\uff0c\u82072018\u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u6301\u5e73\u3002\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e9e\u6d32\u80a1\u5e02\u96a8\u4e4b\u666e\u904d\u4e0a\u63da\u3002 \u5c0d\u65bc\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u8868…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":70078,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[10],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70077"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=70077"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70077\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/70078"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=70077"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=70077"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=70077"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}