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\u5f6d\u535a\u7684\u9867\u554f\u6c83\u723e\u592b\u68ee\uff08Howard Wolfson\uff09\u63a5\u53d7\u300a\u83ef\u90f5\u300b\u8a2a\u554f\u6642\uff0c\u5426\u8a8d\u5f6d\u535a\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u8003\u616e\u8ca1\u5bcc\u7a05\u7b49\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u800c\u6709\u610f\u7af6\u9010\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8a8d\u70ba\u73fe\u6709\u53c3\u9078\u4eba\u96e3\u6575\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff0c\u300c\u4ed6\u4e0d\u64d4\u5fc3\u4e00\u65e6\u6c83\u502b\u52dd\u51fa\u6703\u5982\u4f55\uff0c\u4ed6\u64d4\u5fc3\u7279\u6717\u666e\u52dd\u51fa\u6703\u600e\u6a23\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u7d10\u7d04\u5927\u5b78\u6b77\u53f2\u5b78\u5bb6\u7d0d\u592b\u5854\u5229\uff08Timothy Naftali\uff09\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u904e\u53bb\u7e3d\u7d71\u9078\u8209\u96d6\u7136\u4e5f\u6703\u6d89\u53ca\u968e\u7d1a\u9b25\u722d\uff0c\u4f46\u5f88\u5c11\u6703\u50cf\u4eca\u6b21\u822c\u53ea\u96c6\u4e2d\u653b\u64ca\u793e\u6703\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u5c0f\u64ae\u4eba\uff0c\u8ca1\u5bcc\u8207\u8ca7\u5bcc\u4e0d\u516c\u5df2\u62102020\u5e74\u5927\u9078\u7684\u982d\u865f\u8b70\u984c\uff0c\u300c\u6211\u5011\u6b63\u5c31\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5104\u842c\u5bcc\u8c6a\u5c55\u958b\u5168\u570b\u6027\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5c0d\u8a71\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u6709\u53f2\u4ee5\u4f86\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u8a31\u591a\u4eba\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u8ca1\u5bcc\u548c\u6a5f\u6703\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u5dee\u7570\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n

RealClearPolitics\u6700\u65b0\u6c11\u8abf\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5f6d\u535a\u6c11\u671b\u7d042.3%\uff0c\u9060\u4f4e\u65bc\u9818\u5148\u7684\u524d\u526f\u7e3d\u7d71\u62dc\u767b\u768429.8%\u3002\u6c11\u8abf\u6a5f\u69cbMorning Consult\u672c\u670810\u65e5\u516c\u5e03\u53cd\u5c0d\u5f6d\u535a\u4efb\u7e3d\u7d71\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u9ee8\u4eba\u591a\u905425%\uff0c\u70ba\u6240\u6709\u53c3\u9078\u4eba\u4e2d\u6700\u9ad8\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u4e0d\u5c11\u5206\u6790\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u5f6d\u535a\u6b63\u5f0f\u53c3\u9078\u5f8c\u5c07\u524a\u5f31\u540c\u5c6c\u4e2d\u9593\u6d3e\u7684\u62dc\u767b\u9078\u60c5\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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