\u3010\u718a\u732b\u65f6\u62a5\u8baf\u3011\u62c9\u8d6b\u66fc\uff1a\u5f53\u4eca\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u4e0d\u518d\u90a3\u4e48\u5fe7\u8651\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u76f8\u5bf9\u653e\u677e\u7684\u5fc3\u6001\u4f3c\u4e4e\u8ba9\u62e5\u6838\u56fd\u5bb6\u66f4\u613f\u610f\u627f\u53d7\u519b\u4e8b\u5bf9\u6297\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6211\u8fd9\u4e00\u4ee3\u4eba\u662f\u5728\u53ef\u80fd\u7206\u53d1\u6838\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u9634\u5f71\u4e0b\u957f\u5927\u7684\u3002\u6211\u51fa\u751f\u5728\u53e4\u5df4\u5bfc\u5f39\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u540e\uff0c\u90a3\u573a\u5371\u673a\u662f\u4eba\u7c7b\u6700\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e16\u754c\u672b\u65e5\u6838\u5927\u6218\u7684\u65f6\u523b\u3002\u5728\u6211\u957f\u5927\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u6838\u88c1\u519b\u8fd0\u52a8(Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament)\u662f\u4e00\u80a1\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u529b\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6211\u7684\u5b69\u5b50\u8fd9\u4e00\u4ee3\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u6297\u8bae\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u4e5f\u4e0d\u518d\u90a3\u4e48\u5fe7\u8651\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u3002\u51b7\u6218\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u7279\u8272\u2014\u2014\u6838\u519b\u5907\u63a7\u5236\u8c08\u5224\u2014\u2014\u5df2\u9677\u5165\u505c\u6ede\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u79cd\u76f8\u5bf9\u653e\u677e\u7684\u5fc3\u6001\u6b63\u5728\u4ea7\u751f\u4e00\u79cd\u53d8\u6001\u7684\u6548\u679c\u3002\u5b83\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6b63\u5728\u8ba9\u62e5\u6709\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u66f4\u613f\u610f\u627f\u53d7\u5728\u5f7c\u6b64\u95f4\u8fdb\u884c\u519b\u4e8b\u5bf9\u6297\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5168\u7403\u6709\u4e09\u5904\u56fd\u9645\u5bf9\u6297\uff0c\u5904\u4e8e\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u62e5\u6838\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u6b63\u5728\u89e6\u53ca\u5371\u9669\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u6700\u5927\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u5728\u4e2d\u5370\u8fb9\u5883\u2014\u2014\u8fd1\u671f\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u5df2\u5bfc\u81f421\u540d\u5370\u5ea6\u519b\u4eba\u548c\u4eba\u6570\u4e0d\u8be6\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u519b\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5728\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u5730\u533a\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u7d27\u5f20\u4e5f\u5728\u52a0\u5267\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u767d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u5371\u673a\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f15\u53d1\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u884c\u519b\u4e8b\u5e72\u9884\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u6b64\u4e3e\u5c06\u4f7f\u5317\u7ea6(NATO)\u8fdb\u5165\u6212\u5907\u72b6\u6001\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6838\u5a01\u6151\u906d\u5f31\u5316\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u4e24\u79cd\u622a\u7136\u4e0d\u540c\u3001\u4f46\u53c8\u76f8\u4e92\u5173\u8054\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u9996\u5148\u662f\u7206\u53d1\u5e38\u89c4\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u4e24\u4e2a\u62e5\u6709\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u76f8\u4fe1\u5b83\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5347\u7ea7\u4e3a\u6838\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u6253\u4e00\u4ed7\uff0c\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u5e38\u89c4\u6218\u4e89\u3002\u5176\u6b21\u662f\u7206\u53d1\u6838\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u5e38\u89c4\u6218\u4e89\u610f\u5916\u5347\u7ea7\uff0c\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u7206\u53d1\u6838\u6218\u4e89\u3002<\/p>\n
\u51b7\u6218\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u82cf\u8054\u90fd\u975e\u5e38\u6e05\u695a\u6838\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u5371\u9669\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4ece\u6765\u4e0d\u6562\u5192\u9669\u7528\u5e38\u89c4\u6b66\u5668\u76f4\u63a5\u6253\u51fb\u5bf9\u65b9\u3002\u4f46\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u5c42\u627f\u53d7\u4e86\u6253\u6b7b\u5370\u5ea6\u519b\u4eba\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5370\u5ea6\u4e5f\u62e5\u6709\u6838\u6b66\u5668\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u65b0\u5fb7\u91cc\u6b63\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u56de\u51fb\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4eca\u5e74\u590f\u5929\u559c\u9a6c\u62c9\u96c5\u5730\u533a\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u81f4\u547d\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u53f2\u4e0a\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u5728\u4e24\u4e2a\u62e5\u6838\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e4b\u95f4\u51fa\u73b0\u4ea4\u6218\u3002\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u662f1999\u5e74\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u4e4b\u95f4\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u5361\u5409\u5c14\u6218\u4e89(Kargil War)\u3002\u90a3\u6b21\u5bf9\u6297\u5e76\u672a\u6f14\u53d8\u6210\u6838\u6218\u4e89\u3002\u4f46\u5b83\u8ba9\u4e16\u754c\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u6df1\u53d7\u9707\u60ca\u3002\u65f6\u4efb\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u6bd4\u5c14\u2022\u514b\u6797\u987f(Bill Clinton)\u79f0\u53cc\u65b9\u53d1\u751f\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u524d\u7ebf\u662f\u201c\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5371\u9669\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u56f4\u7ed5\u4e2d\u5370\u51b2\u7a81\u53d1\u51fa\u7684\u6838\u8b66\u62a5\u8f83\u5c11\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u90fd\u5949\u884c\u201c\u4e0d\u9996\u5148\u4f7f\u7528\u201d\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u8fd9\u8ba9\u5927\u591a\u6570\u4e13\u5bb6\u611f\u5230\u5bbd\u6170\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5317\u4eac\u548c\u65b0\u5fb7\u91cc\u5bf9\u5bf9\u65b9\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4f7f\u7528\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u4ee4\u4e2d\u56fd\u653e\u624b\u5229\u7528\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5370\u5ea6\u6216\u8bb8\u4f1a\u5fcd\u4e0d\u4f4f\u6539\u53d8\u5176\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4ee5\u6c42\u6062\u590d\u5a01\u6151\u3002\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e13\u5bb6\u6307\u51fa\u4e86\u5370\u5ea6\u5728\u559c\u9a6c\u62c9\u96c5\u5730\u533a\u90e8\u7f72\u6218\u672f\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u3001\u6216\u8005\u6b63\u5f0f\u5ba3\u5e03\u653e\u5f03\u4e0d\u9996\u5148\u4f7f\u7528\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u62c5\u5fc3\u53ef\u80fd\u8f93\u6389\u4e00\u573a\u5e38\u89c4\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u5a01\u80c1\u4f7f\u7528\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u603b\u662f\u8bf1\u4eba\u7684\u9009\u9879\u3002\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u5b66\u8bf4\u8bbe\u60f3\u7684\u662f\u5728\u5370\u5ea6\u5165\u4fb5\u3001\u5df4\u65b9\u5c06\u4f1a\u6218\u8d25\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u53ca\u65e9\u4f7f\u7528\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u3002<\/p>\n
\u897f\u65b9\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u957f\u671f\u62c5\u5fc3\uff0c\u51fa\u4e8e\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u5c06\u5728\u4e0e\u5317\u7ea6\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u4e2d\u65e9\u65e9\u5a01\u80c1\u4f7f\u7528\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u6218\u7565\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u5148\u5347\u7ea7\u518d\u964d\u7ea7\u201d(escalate to de-escalate)\u3002\u5317\u7ea6\u89c4\u5212\u8005\u6709\u65f6\u4f1a\u63d0\u53ca\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u57282009\u5e74\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u4e00\u573a\u519b\u4e8b\u6f14\u4e60\uff0c\u636e\u62a5\u9053\u90a3\u573a\u6f14\u4e60\u6700\u540e\u6a21\u62df\u4e86\u5bf9\u534e\u6c99\u8fdb\u884c\u6838\u653b\u51fb\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u60f3\u5b9a\u7684\u60c5\u666f\u662f\u56f4\u7ed5\u767d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7206\u53d1\u4e00\u573a\u51b2\u7a81\u2014\u2014\u6b63\u662f\u8be5\u56fd\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u653f\u6cbb\u52a8\u8361\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5173\u4e8e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4f1a\u8fdb\u884c\u519b\u4e8b\u5e72\u9884\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7531\u4e8e\u62c5\u5fc3\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u4e0e\u5317\u7ea6\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528\u5f53\u91cf\u8f83\u5c0f\u7684\u6218\u672f\u6838\u6b66\u5668\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u65b0\u4e00\u4ee3\u4f4e\u5f53\u91cf\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u3002\u4eca\u5e74\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u9996\u6b21\u88ab\u90e8\u7f72\u5230\u6f5c\u8247\u4e0a\u3002\u636e\u79f0\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u5f53\u91cf\u6bd41945\u5e74\u6467\u6bc1\u5e7f\u5c9b\u7684\u539f\u5b50\u5f39\u8fd8\u8981\u5c0f\u2014\u2014\u663e\u7136\u610f\u5728\u8ba9\u4eba\u4eec\u653e\u5fc3\u3002<\/p>\n
\u9664\u4e86\u5bf9\u6838\u6b66\u5e93\u8fdb\u884c\u73b0\u4ee3\u5316\u5347\u7ea7\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fd8\u6b63\u5728\u9000\u51fa\u5176\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e4b\u95f4\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u6838\u519b\u5907\u63a7\u5236\u534f\u8bae\u3002\u300a\u4e2d\u7a0b\u5bfc\u5f39\u6761\u7ea6\u300b(Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces Treaty)\u5df2\u4e8e2019\u5e74\u5931\u6548\u3002\u9650\u5236\u6d32\u9645\u6838\u5bfc\u5f39\u6570\u91cf\u7684\u300a\u524a\u51cf\u6218\u7565\u6b66\u5668\u6761\u7ea6\u300b(START)\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u660e\u5e74\u7eed\u7b7e\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u4e0d\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7eed\u7b7e\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u519b\u5907\u63a7\u5236\u6761\u7ea6\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6761\u7ea6\u5e76\u672a\u9650\u5236\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5982\u4eca\u5c06\u4e2d\u56fd\u89c6\u4e3a\u5176\u6700\u5371\u9669\u7684\u5bf9\u624b\u3002<\/p>\n
\u751a\u81f3\u5728\u5df4\u62c9\u514b\u2022\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c(Barack Obama)\u62c5\u4efb\u603b\u7edf\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u5c31\u542c\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d44\u6df1\u6218\u7565\u5bb6\u9884\u8a00\uff0c\u7f8e\u4e2d\u4e24\u56fd\u7ec8\u5c06\u53d1\u751f\u4e00\u573a\u519b\u4e8b\u5bf9\u6297\u2014\u2014\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u6d77\u4e0a\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u9884\u671f\u662f\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u5bf9\u6297\u90fd\u5c06\u4f1a\u901a\u8fc7\u5916\u4ea4\u9014\u5f84\u8fc5\u901f\u5f97\u5230\u63a7\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n
\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u4e2d\u4e24\u56fd\u5728\u53f0\u6e7e\u548c\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u4e0d\u65ad\u91c7\u53d6\u88ab\u5bf9\u65b9\u89c6\u4e3a\u5177\u6709\u6311\u8845\u6027\u7684\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u4e24\u56fd\u95f4\u53d1\u751f\u6b64\u7c7b\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u6b63\u5728\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u573a\u51b2\u7a81\u663e\u800c\u6613\u89c1\u7684\u5371\u9669\u662f\uff0c\u5916\u4ea4\u624b\u6bb5\u65e0\u6cd5\u5e73\u606f\u5c40\u52bf\uff0c\u51b2\u7a81\u5347\u7ea7\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7f8e\u4e2d\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u5bf9\u6297\u90fd\u5c06\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u4e89\u593a\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u5730\u533a\u4f18\u52bf\u5730\u4f4d\u7684\u4e00\u573a\u5177\u6709\u8c61\u5f81\u610f\u4e49\u7684\u6597\u4e89\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e8b\u5b9e\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5317\u4eac\u548c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u90fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u63a5\u53d7\u4e00\u573a\u660e\u663e\u7684\u5931\u8d25\u3002\u8fd9\u5c06\u52a0\u5927\u4e24\u4e2a\u62e5\u6709\u5927\u91cf\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e4b\u95f4\u519b\u4e8b\u51b2\u7a81\u5347\u7ea7\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e8b\u6001\u53ef\u80fd\u5982\u4f55\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u4eba\u90fd\u4e0d\u5e94\u6389\u4ee5\u8f7b\u5fc3\u3002<\/p>\n
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