{"id":87073,"date":"2020-10-09T16:55:44","date_gmt":"2020-10-09T05:55:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/?p=87073"},"modified":"2020-10-09T16:55:44","modified_gmt":"2020-10-09T05:55:44","slug":"%e5%af%b9%e4%ba%8e2035%e5%b9%b4%e5%ae%9e%e7%8e%b0%e7%a4%be%e4%bc%9a%e4%b8%bb%e4%b9%89%e7%8e%b0%e4%bb%a3%e5%8c%96%e7%9a%84%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e6%84%bf%e6%99%af%ef%bc%8c%e4%b8%ad","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/?p=87073","title":{"rendered":"\u5bf9\u4e8e2035\u5e74\u5b9e\u73b0\u201c\u793e\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4e49\u73b0\u4ee3\u5316\u201d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u613f\u666f\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u8ba1\u5212?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div class=\"content_\">\n<p>\u3010\u718a\u732b\u65f6\u62a5\u8baf\u3011\u572810\u6708\u5e95\u7684\u4e00\u6b21\u91cd\u8981\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5c06\u63d0\u51fa\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u52302035\u5e74\u201c\u57fa\u672c\u5b9e\u73b0\u793e\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4e49\u73b0\u4ee3\u5316\u201d\u7684\u613f\u666f\uff0c\u800c\u5065\u5eb7\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u8f68\u8ff9\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u89c4\u5212\u7684\u5173\u952e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8bf4\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e2a\u76ee\u6807\u65f6\u6ca1\u6709\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u7ec6\u8282\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u5171\u4e2d\u592e\u4e94\u4e2d\u5168\u4f1a\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u63d0\u4f9b\u66f4\u591a\u7ec6\u8282\uff1a\u5173\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u7684\u8fdc\u89c1\u548c\u653f\u5e9c\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u91c7\u53d6\u666e\u904d\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u5b9e\u73b0\u5b83\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f1a\u8bae\u5c06\u4e8e10\u670826\u65e5\u81f329\u65e5\u4e3e\u884c\uff0c\u4f1a\u8bae\u524d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u5047\u8bbe\u662f\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u5065\u5eb7\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u8f68\u8ff9\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u6446\u8131\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u9677\u9631\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u201c\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u9677\u9631\u201d(middle income trap)\u662f\u6307\u4e00\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fbe\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u65e0\u6cd5\u4ece\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u53d1\u5c55\u5230\u9ad8\u79d1\u6280\u4ea7\u4e1a\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5c31\u505c\u6ede\u4e0d\u524d\uff0c\u505c\u7559\u5728\u540c\u4e00\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"content_\">\n<p>\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u589e\u957f\u6545\u4e8b\u4e2d\uff0c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5df2\u88ab\u8bc1\u660e\u662f\u77ed\u6682\u7684\u63d2\u66f2\u800c\u5df2\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u9006\u8f6c\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b02035\u5e74\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u52302049\u5e74\u6210\u4e3a\u201c\u73b0\u4ee3\u5316\u793e\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4e49\u56fd\u5bb6\u201d\u7684\u57ab\u811a\u77f3\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f7c\u65f6\u5c06\u5e86\u795d\u6210\u7acb100\u5468\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9ad8\u5c42\u5728\u4e94\u6708\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u987e\u95ee\u8bb2\u8bdd\u4e2d\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u5728\u4e0d\u4e45\u7684\u5c06\u6765\u9762\u4e34\u201c\u66f4\u52a0\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u548c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u201d\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u5176\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc74\u4ebf\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u7684\u5e9e\u5927\u56fd\u5185\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u7ee7\u7eed\u84ec\u52c3\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u6301\u7eed\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u548c\u56fd\u5185\u6295\u8d44\u6f5c\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e2d\u592e\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u516c\u5e73\u548c\u7eff\u8272\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4f46\u5bcc\u5f3a\u6216\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u6210\u4e3a\u5bcc\u88d5\u548c\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u5317\u4eac\u613f\u666f\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u90e8\u5206\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u725b\u6d25\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u9662\uff08Oxford Economics\uff09\u4e9a\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba Louis Kuijs \u672c\u5468\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u5728\u672a\u6765\u5341\u5e74\u4fdd\u6301\u76f8\u5bf9\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u5e74\u5747\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e3a4.5\uff05\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u4e2d\u56fd\u57282030\u5e74\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u8d85\u8fc7\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u589e\u957f\u524d\u666f\u5c06\u53d7\u5230\u6076\u5316\u7684\u5bf9\u5916\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5bf9\u5317\u4eac\u7684\u62b5\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e93\u4f0a\u65af\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u5f62\u6210\u62b5\u5236\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684&#8217;\u5171\u540c\u6218\u7ebf&#8217;\uff0c\u4f46\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\u4ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u201d \u201c\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e4b\u95f4\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5171\u540c\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5f53\u524d\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u503e\u5411\u4e8e&#8217;\u72ec\u81ea\u884c\u52a8&#8217;\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u9ad8\u5c42\u6b63\u5728\u53ec\u96c6\u515a\u548c\u56fd\u5bb6\u8ffd\u9010\u4e2d\u534e\u6c11\u65cf\u4f1f\u5927\u590d\u5174\u7684\u68a6\u60f3\uff0c\u79f0\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4e3a\u201c\u897f\u65b9\u4ef7\u503c\u89c2\u201d\u63d0\u4f9b\u4efb\u4f55\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u57fa\u7840\uff0c\u4e0d\u8fc7\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u7edd\u4e0d\u80fd\u59a5\u534f\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"content_\">\n<p>\u201c\u56fd\u5185\u5916\u5404\u79cd\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u654c\u5bf9\u52bf\u529b\u4e00\u76f4\u8bd5\u56fe\u8feb\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u505a\u6df1\u5165\u7684\u6539\u53d8\uff0c\u8fd9\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u662f\u5728\u8feb\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u653e\u5f03\u4fe1\u4ef0\u3002\u201d\u8fd9\u662f\u57282015\u5e74\u7684\u6f14\u8bb2\u4e2d\u8bf4\u5230\u7684\uff0c\u8be5\u6f14\u8bb2\u76f4\u52302019\u5e74\u624d\u53d1\u8868\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6211\u4eec\u515a\u5185\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u540c\u5fd7\u5728\u5185\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u770b\u5230\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7a8d\u95e8\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e89\u8fa9\u8bf4&#8217;\u897f\u65b9\u666e\u904d\u4ef7\u503c\u89c2&#8217;\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d70\u4e86\u51e0\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e86\uff0c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u80fd\u63a5\u53d7\u5462\uff1f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4eba\u5728\u4e0d\u77e5\u4e0d\u89c9\u4e2d\u6210\u4e3a\u4e86\u897f\u65b9\u8d44\u672c\u4e3b\u4e49\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u7684\u5ba3\u4f20\u5bb6\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5317\u4eac\u5bf9\u7e41\u8363\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6784\u60f3\u5df2\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e3a\u201c\u53cc\u5faa\u73af\u6218\u7565\u201d\uff0c\u4ee5\u7a81\u51fa\u56fd\u5185\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u56fd\u4ea7\u6280\u672f\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u534e\u76db\u987f\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u4e0d\u9002\u5e94\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"content_\">\n<p>\u725b\u6d25\u5927\u5b66\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7814\u7a76\u52a9\u7406 George Magnus \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8be5\u6218\u7565\u201c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u662f\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u65f6\u4ee3\u8131\u94a9\u201d\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e0e1980\u5e74\u81f32010\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u897f\u65b9\u4e16\u754c\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u90e8\u73af\u5883\u5c06\u201c\u5f7b\u5e95\u4e0d\u540c\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Magnus \u8865\u5145\u8bf4\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e2d\u56fd2035\u5e74\u613f\u666f\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u5c06\u5305\u62ec\u201c\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u4ea4\u901a\u4fe1\u53f7\u706f\u2026\u2026\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u8def\u7ebf\u56fe\u201d\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u5426\u5c06\u57282035\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u6210\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u6700\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u4ecd\u662f\u201c\u6709\u7591\u95ee\u7684\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Magnus \u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6b63\u5728\u52a0\u500d\u91c7\u7528\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u56fd\u6709\u4f01\u4e1a\u548c\u96c6\u4e2d\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u201d \u201c\u6211\u62c5\u5fc3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u65b9\u9762\u505a\u5f97\u4e0d\u597d\u2026\u2026\u5b83\u5c06\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u548c\u66f4\u52a0\u8106\u5f31\u3002\u786e\u5b9e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u5df2\u7ecf\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e86\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5404\u90e8\u59d4\u548c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u6b63\u6025\u4e8e\u5ba3\u5e03\u81ea\u5df1\u76842035\u5e74\u84dd\u56fe\uff0c\u4ee5\u5145\u5b9e\u9ad8\u5c42\u7684\u6218\u7565\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u52302035\u5e74\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6587\u5316\u4fe1\u5fc3\u548c\u5305\u5bb9\u6027\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5c55\u793a\u7a97\u53e3\u201d\u548c\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u53c2\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u6cbb\u7406\u7684\u67a2\u7ebd\u201d\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u6d77\u8ba1\u5212\u5c06\u5176\u65b0\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u533a\u4e4b\u4e00\u201c\u6210\u4e3a\u5177\u6709\u5f3a\u5927\u529f\u80fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7279\u533a\u201d\u3002\u5168\u7403\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6df1\u5733\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d77\u8349\u4e86\u4e00\u9879\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u4f7f\u8fd9\u5ea7\u57ce\u5e02\u6210\u4e3a\u81ea\u884c\u8f66\u53cb\u597d\u578b\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u5e76\u4f7f\u81ea\u884c\u8f66\u6210\u4e3a\u901a\u52e4\u8005\u7684\u9996\u9009\u4ea4\u901a\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u800c\u70ed\u5e26\u5c9b\u5c7f\u7701\u4efd\u6d77\u5357\u6b63\u5c06\u81ea\u5df1\u5b9a\u4f4d\u4e3a\u52302035\u5e74\u6210\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u7ea7\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u8d38\u6613\u67a2\u7ebd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u6559\u80b2\u90e8\u8ba1\u5212\u52302035\u5e74\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u6210\u4e3a\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7279\u8272\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u751f\u6559\u80b2\u5f3a\u56fd\u201d\uff0c\u800c\u4ea4\u901a\u8fd0\u8f93\u90e8\u6b63\u8bd5\u56fe\u5c06\u5176\u9ad8\u901f\u94c1\u8def\u7f51\u7684\u957f\u5ea6\u589e\u52a0\u4e00\u500d\uff0c\u8fbe\u523070,000\u516c\u91cc\uff0843,496\u82f1\u91cc\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u5317\u4eac\u8bd5\u56fe\u5f15\u9886\u65b0\u5174\u6280\u672f\u4ece5G\u901a\u4fe1\u5230\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d28\u91cf\u7ba1\u7406\u90e8\u95e8\u8fd8\u5236\u5b9a\u4e862035\u5e74\u8ba1\u5212\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u6765\u6e90:\u00a0<span class=\"content_\"><span class=\"span_c\">SCMP<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u4f5c\u8005:\u00a0<span class=\"span_c\">Zhou Xin<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u3010\u718a\u732b\u65f6\u62a5\u8baf\u3011\u572810\u6708\u5e95\u7684\u4e00\u6b21\u91cd\u8981\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5c06\u63d0\u51fa\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u52302035\u5e74\u201c\u57fa\u672c\u5b9e\u73b0\u793e\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4e49\u73b0\u4ee3\u5316\u201d\u7684\u613f\u666f\uff0c\u800c\u5065\u5eb7\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u8f68\u8ff9\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u89c4\u5212\u7684\u5173\u952e\u3002 \u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u8bf4\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e2a\u76ee\u6807\u65f6\u6ca1\u6709\u5177\u4f53\u7684&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":87074,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2,10],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87073"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=87073"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87073\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/87074"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=87073"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=87073"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=87073"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}