{"id":88487,"date":"2020-10-28T10:36:22","date_gmt":"2020-10-27T23:36:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/?p=88487"},"modified":"2020-10-28T10:36:22","modified_gmt":"2020-10-27T23:36:22","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e6%8e%a5%e8%a7%a6%e6%b4%be%e5%8f%8d%e5%87%bb%ef%bc%9a%e5%af%b9%e5%8d%8e%e9%b9%b0%e6%b4%be%e8%b5%b0%e8%bf%87%e5%a4%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/?p=88487","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u63a5\u89e6\u6d3e\u53cd\u51fb\uff1a\u5bf9\u534e\u201c\u9e70\u6d3e\u201d\u8d70\u8fc7\u5934"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span>\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u3010\u718a\u732b\u65f6\u62a5\u8baf\u3011\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u534e\u5f3a\u786c\u6d3e\u5728\u534e\u5e9c\u5916\u4ea4\u5708\u5360\u7edd\u5bf9\u4e0a\u98ce\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u4e00\u7fa4\u4e3b\u5f20\u7ee7\u7eed\u5bf9\u534e\u63a5\u89e6\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b66\u8005\u6295\u4e66\u300a\u5916\u4ea4\u4e8b\u52a1\u300b\u6742\u5fd7\uff0c\u9a73\u65a5\u201c\u9e70\u6d3e\u201d\u5f3a\u786c\u904f\u5236\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8bba\u8c03\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5bf9\u534e\u201c\u9e70\u6d3e\u201d\u8d70\u8fc7\u5934\u4e86\uff0c\u4fb5\u72af\u884c\u4e3a\u662f\u5bf9\u5317\u4eac\u7684\u9519\u8bef\u56de\u5e94\uff0c\u5176\u7ed3\u679c\u53ea\u4f1a\u9002\u5f97\u5176\u53cd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u3000\u3000\u6606\u897f\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u4e1c\u4e9a\u9879\u76ee\u4e3b\u4efb\u53f2\u6587\uff08Michael Swaine\uff09\u3001\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b66\u8363\u4f11\u6559\u6388\u5085\u9ad8\u4e49\uff08Ezra Vogel\uff09\u3001\u56fd\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6770\u51fa\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u5e0c\u5c14\uff08Paul Heer\uff09\u3001\u524d\u7f8e\u9a7b\u534e\u5927\u4f7f\u82ae\u6548\u4fed\uff08J. Stapleton Roy\uff09 \u3001\u6606\u897f\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u675c\u777f\u6e05\uff08Rachel Odell\uff09\u3001\u4e54\u6cbb\u00b7\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5927\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u671b\u6708\uff08Mike Mochizuki\uff09\u3001\u5bbe\u5915\u6cd5\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u91d1\u9a8f\u8fdc\uff08Avery Goldstein\uff09\u3001\u80e1\u4f5b\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u6885\u701a\u6f9c\uff08Alice Miller\uff09\u65e5\u524d\u5728\u300a\u5916\u4ea4\u4e8b\u52a1\u300b\u6742\u5fd7\u8054\u540d\u53d1\u8868\u9898\u4e3a\u201c\u5bf9\u534e\u9e70\u6d3e\u8d70\u8fc7\u5934\u201d\uff08The Overreach of the China Hawks\uff09\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u53cd\u9a73\u666e\u6797\u65af\u987f\u5927\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u8303\u4e9a\u4f26\uff08Aaron Friedberg\uff09\u5728\u300a\u5916\u4ea4\u4e8b\u52a1\u300b\u6742\u5fd7\uff089\uff0f10\u6708\u53f7\uff09\u53d1\u8868\u201c\u5bf9\u4fb5\u72af\u7684\u7b54\u6848\uff1a\u5982\u4f55\u56de\u51fb\u5317\u4eac\u201d\uff08An Answer to Aggression\uff09\u6587\u7ae0\u7684\u8bba\u8c03\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u3000\u3000\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5b66\u8005\u6587\u7ae0\u7684\u4e3b\u9898\u662f\uff1a\u4fb5\u72af\u662f\u5bf9\u5317\u4eac\u7684\u9519\u8bef\u56de\u5e94\uff08Aggression Is the Wrong Response to Beijing\uff09\u3002\u8303\u4e9a\u4f26\u5728\u5176\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ca\u5176\u76df\u53cb\u548c\u4f19\u4f34\u5e94\u8be5\u4f7f\u7528\u201c\u8fdb\u653b\u6027\u653f\u7b56\u201d\u6765\u904f\u5236\u4e2d\u56fd\u3002\u63a5\u89e6\u6d3e\u5b66\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8303\u4e9a\u4f26\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u3001\u610f\u56fe\u548c\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u4e00\u518d\u63d0\u51fa\u7b3c\u7edf\u7684\u3001\u4e0d\u7b26\u5408\u6761\u4ef6\u7684\u6700\u574f\u60c5\u51b5\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\uff0c\u4e0d\u987e\u4e8b\u5b9e\uff0c\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f53\u5236\u5404\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\uff0c\u4ee5\u8bc1\u660e\u96f6\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u5904\u65b9\u7684\u6b63\u786e\u6027\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4ec5\u9760\u80c1\u8feb\u6027\u7684\u201c\u56de\u51fb\u201d\u653f\u7b56\u5e76\u4e0d\u80fd\u8feb\u4f7f\u5317\u4eac\u6309\u7167\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u884c\u4e8b\uff0c\u76f8\u53cd\u8fd9\u79cd\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u51b2\u7a81\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u52a0\u5267\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6c99\u6587\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5408\u4f5c\u5904\u7406\u5171\u540c\u7d27\u8feb\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u3000\u3000\u63a5\u89e6\u6d3e\u5b66\u8005\u76f8\u4fe1\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u52a0\u8c28\u614e\u548c\u6df1\u601d\u719f\u8651\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u5fc5\u987b\u4e0e\u76df\u53cb\u548c\u4f19\u4f34\u8fdb\u884c\u534f\u8c03\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u5728\u5fc5\u8981\u65f6\u5a01\u6151\u548c\u7ade\u4e89\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u6fc0\u52b1\u5317\u4eac\u5408\u4f5c\u89e3\u51b3\u5171\u540c\u5173\u5fc3\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5982\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u548c\u5f53\u524d\u548c\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u3002\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5e94\u8be5\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u51cf\u5c11\u6838\u6218\u4e89\u3001\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6740\u4f24\u6027\u6b66\u5668\u548c\u5bfc\u5f39\u6269\u6563\u3001\u4ee3\u4ef7\u9ad8\u6602\u7684\u519b\u5907\u7ade\u8d5b\u4ee5\u53ca\u6050\u6016\u4e3b\u4e49\u6269\u6563\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u5728\u4e9a\u592a\u5730\u533a\u8c0b\u6c42\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u5c0a\u91cd\u5305\u62ec\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5185\u7684\u6240\u6709\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u5b83\u8fd8\u5e94\u4fee\u8ba2\u548c\u6269\u5927\u591a\u8fb9\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u534f\u5b9a\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u56fd\u9645\u52aa\u529b\uff0c\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u89e3\u51b3\u6240\u6709\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u707e\u5bb3\u548c\u4eba\u6743\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0 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\u00a0\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5b66\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8303\u4e9a\u4f26\u5bf9\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u4e2d\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u8fc7\u5ea6\u89e3\u8bfb\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u76f8\u4fe1\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5927\u6218\u7565\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u5f3a\u8feb\u4eba\u4eec\u63a5\u53d7\u5176\u653f\u6cbb\u6a21\u5f0f\u6216\u7834\u574f\u6c11\u4e3b\u201d\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\u3002\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u4e0d\u4e00\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u5e0c\u671b\u4e0e\u5317\u4eac\u548c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u90fd\u5efa\u7acb\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5e76\u62d2\u7edd\u88ab\u8feb\u5728\u4e24\u4e2a\u5927\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u9009\u8fb9\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u3000\u3000\u8303\u4e9a\u4f26\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u897f\u65b9\u201c\u62bc\u6ce8\u201d\u5bf9\u534e\u63a5\u89e6\u6700\u7ec8\u5c06\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u81ea\u7531\u5316\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d4c\u6ce8\u201c\u6ca1\u6709\u6210\u529f\u201d\u3002\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u5219\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u534e\u63a5\u89e6\u5e76\u975e\u4ee5\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u81ea\u7531\u5316\u4e3a\u524d\u63d0\u3002\u4e0e\u5317\u4eac\u7684\u5bc6\u5207\u8054\u7cfb\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u9632\u6b62\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6740\u4f24\u6027\u6b66\u5668\u6269\u6563\uff0c\u519b\u5907\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u63a5\u53d7\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u91d1\u878d\u7684\u67d0\u4e9b\u56fd\u9645\u89c4\u5219\u7b49\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u63a5\u89e6\u653f\u7b56\u8fd8\u5c06\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e26\u5165\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u3000\u3000\u8303\u4e9a\u4f26\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u957f\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u524a\u5f31\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b89\u5168\u4fdd\u969c\u7684\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\uff0c\u5e76\u7834\u574f\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4fdd\u969c\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u8054\u76df\u7f51\u7edc\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5b66\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6709\u6b63\u5f53\u6743\u5229\u4fdd\u62a4\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5173\u5207\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5229\u7528\u5176\u65e5\u76ca\u589e\u957f\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u529b\u91cf\u62b5\u5fa1\u8fd1\u6d77\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u62d2\u7edd\u5bf9\u5e38\u6709\u4e89\u8bae\u7684\u4e3b\u6743\u4e3b\u5f20\u7684\u6311\u6218\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u3000\u3000\u81f3\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653b\u52bf\uff0c\u8303\u4e9a\u4f26\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5bfb\u6c42\u5229\u7528\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6765\u63d0\u5347\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5730\u4f4d\u548c\u5b9e\u529b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u76ee\u6807\u51cc\u9a7e\u4e8e\u6240\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u76ee\u7684\u4e4b\u4e0a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5b66\u8005\u5219\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u8bba\u8c03\u5ffd\u7565\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6210\u957f\u4f7f\u5927\u91cf\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53d7\u76ca\u7684\u4e8b\u5b9e\u3002\u8303\u4e9a\u4f26\u58f0\u79f0\u201c\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u201d\u5021\u8bae\u4e0d\u8fc7\u662f\u65e8\u5728\u5f81\u670d\u548c\u63a7\u5236\u4ed6\u4eba\u7684\u72e1\u733e\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5927\u91cf\u5b66\u672f\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u5916\u7ecf\u6d4e\u63f4\u52a9\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ea7\u751f\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u63f4\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5e76\u4e0d\u6bd4\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u897f\u65b9\u63f4\u52a9\u66f4\u53d7\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u8bbe\u8ba1\u9a71\u52a8\u3002\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 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