<\/p>\n
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\u5728\u4e2d\u592e\u6700\u9ad8\u51b3\u7b56\u673a\u6784\u2014\u2014\u4e2d\u592e\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5468\u6279\u51c6\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u7b2c14\u4e2a\u4e94\u5e74\u8ba1\u5212\u548c\u4e00\u5957\u52302035\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u957f\u671f\u53d1\u5c55\u76ee\u6807\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u89c2\u5bdf\u4eba\u58eb\u505a\u51fa\u4e86\u4e0a\u8ff0\u8bc4\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6839\u636e\u4f1a\u8bae\u7ed3\u675f\u65f6\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u8be5\u8ba1\u5212\u548c\u76ee\u6807\u6982\u8ff0\u4e86\u5728\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u8131\u94a9\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u4e0b\uff0c\u5c06\u91cd\u70b9\u8f6c\u5411\u5de5\u4e1a\u548c\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\uff0c\u5e76\u51cf\u5c11\u5bf9\u6280\u672f\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\u3002<\/p>\n
\u8fd9\u4e9b\u76ee\u6807\u5c06\u7531\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u89c4\u5212\u673a\u6784\u5728\u515a\u7684\u96c6\u4e2d\u7edf\u4e00\u9886\u5bfc\u4e0b\u5b9e\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n
\u636e\u5468\u516d\u53d1\u8868\u5728\u515a\u62a5\u300a\u6c42\u662f\u300b\u4e0a\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u8bb2\u8bdd\u526f\u672c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u57284\u6708\u4efd\u5411\u9ad8\u7ea7\u987e\u95ee\u53d1\u8868\u8bb2\u8bdd\u65f6\uff0c\u53d1\u51fa\u4e86\u81ea\u529b\u66f4\u751f\u548c\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n
\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u786e\u4fdd\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4ea7\u4e1a\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4e2d\u65ad\u751a\u81f3\u5728\u5173\u952e\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u4e0e\u9ad8\u901f\u94c1\u8def\u548c\u53d1\u7535\u7b49\u884c\u4e1a\u9700\u8981\u80fd\u591f\u627f\u53d7\u5916\u56fd\u7684\u62b5\u5236\u548c\u5236\u88c1\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4f46\u4e0a\u6d77\u5bf9\u5916\u8d38\u6613\u5b66\u9662\u4e1c\u65b9\u5b66\u8005\u6559\u6388 Henry Gao \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8f6c\u5411\u5185\u5411\u578b\u5e76\u81ea\u7ed9\u81ea\u8db3\uff0c\u4e24\u4e2a\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u6280\u672f\u5927\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u53d1\u751f\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n
\u9ad8\u5728\u5468\u4e94\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u8fd9\u79cd\u56fd\u5185\u7684\u64cd\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u201d\u201c\u5728\u5b9e\u8df5\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u53d7\u5230(\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684)\u4ea7\u4e1a\u653f\u7b56\u3001\u8865\u8d34\u548c\u56fd\u6709\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u9a71\u52a8\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u4e09\u9a7e\u9a6c\u8f66\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d44\u672c\u4e3b\u4e49\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u897f\u65b9\u4e3b\u8981\u8d38\u6613\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u6839\u6e90\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e2d\u592e\u7684\u58f0\u660e\u91cd\u7533\u4e86\u957f\u671f\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u53e3\u5934\u7985\uff0c\u5373\u201c\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u5728\u8d44\u6e90\u914d\u7f6e\u4e2d\u53d1\u6325\u51b3\u5b9a\u6027\u4f5c\u7528\u201d\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u4e5f\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9886\u57df\u7684\u6709\u5f62\u4e4b\u624b\uff0c\u5e76\u547c\u5401\u201c\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u534f\u540c\u4f5c\u7528\u201d\uff08 \u5728\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u6d3b\u8dc3\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u4e4b\u95f4\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n
\u201c\u9274\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u91c7\u53d6\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5f3a\u786c\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u4e24\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u4f1a\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u201d\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u7ba1\u7406\u5927\u5b66\u6cd5\u5b66\u526f\u6559\u6388\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6fb3\u65b0\u94f6\u884c(ANZ Bank)\u5927\u4e2d\u534e\u533a\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6 Raymond Yeung \u4e5f\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u4e2d\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u5f88\u5feb\u7f13\u89e3\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u575a\u4fe1\uff0c\u201c\u793e\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4e49\u73b0\u4ee3\u5316\u201d\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u957f\u671f\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u6b63\u786e\u9053\u8def\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6768\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u4e0a\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u533a\u522b\u5f00\u6765\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u53cd\u5bf9\u56fd\u6709\u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
\u4ed6\u8865\u5145\u79f0\uff0c\u672a\u676510\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u65e5\u76ca\u589e\u957f\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b9e\u529b\u5c06\u4f7f\u5317\u4eac\u65b9\u9762\u201c\u5728\u8c08\u5224\u684c\u4e0a\u62e5\u6709\u66f4\u5f3a\u7684\u8ba8\u4ef7\u8fd8\u4ef7\u5730\u4f4d\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u51ef\u6295\u5b8f\u89c2(Capital Economics)\u9ad8\u7ea7\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6 Julian Evans-Pritchard \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u79ef\u6781\u8ffd\u6c42\u81ea\u7ed9\u81ea\u8db3\u548c\u56fd\u5185\u521b\u65b0\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u635f\u5bb3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u8d44\u6e90\u914d\u7f6e\u7684\u626d\u66f2\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u6574\u4f53\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n
Julian \u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u7531\u4e8e\u56fd\u6709\u4f01\u4e1a\u5728\u4ea7\u4e1a\u653f\u7b56\u4e2d\u53d1\u6325\u7740\u6838\u5fc3\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u81ea\u4e0a\u800c\u4e0b\u7684\u81ea\u7ed9\u81ea\u8db3\u8fd0\u52a8\u4f7f\u5f97\u9886\u5bfc\u5c42\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u884c\u5c06\u8d44\u6e90\u4ece\u56fd\u6709\u4f01\u4e1a\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u901a\u5e38\u6548\u7387\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u79c1\u8425\u90e8\u95e8\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u8bd5\u56fe\u7f13\u89e3\u5916\u754c\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u5373\u8fd9\u79cd\u8f6c\u53d8\u5c06\u5173\u95ed\u5916\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u5927\u95e8\u3002<\/p>\n
\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u575a\u5b9a\u5730\u7ad9\u5728\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u4e00\u8fb9\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u548c\u7ee7\u7eed\u6df1\u5316\u6539\u9769,\u6269\u5927\u5f00\u653e,\u52a0\u5f3a\u5404\u9886\u57df\u5408\u4f5c,\u5e76\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u5408\u4f5c,\u8d62\u5f97\u6700\u540e\u80dc\u5229\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u590d\u82cf,\u201d\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u53d1\u8a00\u4eba\u738b\u6587\u658c\u4e0a\u5468\u8868\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n
APCO Worldwide \u5927\u4e2d\u534e\u533a\u4e3b\u5e2d James McGregor \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u52aa\u529b\u63d0\u632f\u56fd\u5185\u6d88\u8d39\u3001\u523a\u6fc0\u56fd\u5185\u521b\u65b0\u3001\u5f00\u53d1\u672c\u571f\u6280\u672f\u5e76\u63a8\u52a8\u81ea\u7ed9\u81ea\u8db3\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u6700\u7ec8\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u6d88\u9664\u5bf9\u51fa\u53e3\u6536\u5165\u548c\u8fdb\u53e3\u6280\u672f\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\u3002<\/p>\n
McGregor \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u57282006\u5e74\u7684\u201c\u81ea\u4e3b\u521b\u65b0\u201d\u6218\u7565\u548c2015\u5e74\u7684\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5236\u90202025\u201d\u84dd\u56fe\u4e2d\u90fd\u6709\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3\u66ff\u4ee3\u62b1\u8d1f\u3002<\/p>\n
\u201c\u8bf7\u8bb0\u4f4f\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e94\u5bf9\u5916\u90e8\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u6218\u7565\u8ba1\u5212\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ffd\u6eaf\u5230\u82cf\u8054\u65f6\u4ee3\uff0c\u201d\u9ea6\u683c\u96f7\u6208\u8bf4\u3002\u201c\u5728\u4f60\u7814\u8bfb\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u7b2c14\u4e2a\u4e94\u5e74\u8ba1\u5212\u53ca\u5176\u672c\u5730\u8ba1\u5212\u65f6\uff0c(\u4f60\u5e94\u8be5)\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u4fdd\u62a4\u81ea\u8eab\u5168\u7403\u4e1a\u52a1\u7684\u957f\u8fdc\u672a\u6765\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
\u6765\u6e90: SCMP<\/p>\n
[ \u534e\u5c14\u8857\u6587\u6458\u8bd1]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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