[ \u534e\u5c14\u8857\u6587\u6458\u8bd1 – \u539f\u6587 SCMP — 2020\u5e7411\u67084\u65e5]<\/p>\n
\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b66(Harvard university)\u6559\u6388\u3001\u4f5c\u5bb6\u683c\u96f7\u5384\u59c6\u00b7\u57c3\u91cc\u68ee(Graham Allison)\u5468\u4e09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u624d\u521a\u521a\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u65e0\u8bba\u8c01\u5165\u4e3b\u767d\u5bab\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u7ade\u4e89\u53ea\u4f1a\u6108\u6f14\u6108\u70c8\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e24\u5e74\u591a\u6765\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u51e0\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u9677\u5165\u4e86\u8d38\u6613\u6218\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u548c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u56e0\u9999\u6e2f\u3001\u65b0\u7586\u548c\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u7b49\u95ee\u9898\u800c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6076\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n
\u827e\u5229\u68ee\u5728\u745e\u58eb\u4fe1\u8d37(Credit Suisse)\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5927\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8868\u793a:\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7a81\u7136\u9192\u609f\u8fc7\u6765\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5df2\u5728\u5404\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u6210\u4e3a\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
\u201c(\u4e2d\u56fd)\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u6280\u672f\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u9886\u57df\u9886\u5148\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u3002\u6211\u60f3\u8bf4\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u4e00\u573a\u7ade\u4e89\u7684\u65e9\u671f\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8fd9\u573a\u7ade\u4e89\u5c06\u4f1a\u53d8\u5f97\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u6fc0\u70c8\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
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\u81ea\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa60\u5e74\u4ee3\u62c5\u4efb\u4e94\u89d2\u5927\u697c\u987e\u95ee\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f4d80\u5c81\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u4e00\u76f4\u53c2\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u56fd\u9632\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u4f17\u6240\u5468\u77e5\uff0c\u4ed6\u662f\u4e2d\u65b9\u9ad8\u7ea7\u653f\u754c\u4eba\u58eb\u7684\u5e38\u5ba2\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u526f\u4e3b\u5e2d\u738b\u5c90\u5c71\u548c\u526f\u603b\u7406\u5218\u9e64\u3002<\/p>\n
\u8fd9\u79cd\u5173\u7cfb\u751a\u81f3\u5230\u4e86\u827e\u8389\u68ee\u5efa\u8bae\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u9996\u5e2d\u8c08\u5224\u4ee3\u8868\u5218\u9e64\u5982\u4f55\u89e3\u51b3\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e(Donald Trump)\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u9006\u5dee\u7533\u8bc9\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n
\u201c\u6211\u5bf9\u5218\u9e64\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u89e3\u51b3\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4f60\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4e0d\u76f4\u63a5\u544a\u8bc9\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u6d88\u9664\u53cc\u8fb9\u8d38\u6613\u9006\u5dee\u2026\u2026\u4f60\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u548c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8fbe\u6210\u4e00\u9879\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u4efb\u671f\u7ed3\u675f\u524d\u5b8c\u6210\u8fd9\u9879\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u201d\u827e\u8389\u68ee\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n
\u201c(\u7279\u6717\u666e)\u5c06\u5ba3\u5e03\u4e00\u573a\u4f1f\u5927\u7684\u80dc\u5229\u3002\u4f60\u6240\u8981\u505a\u7684\u5c31\u662f\u628a\u4f60\u73b0\u5728\u8d2d\u4e70\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\u4ece\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u65b9\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
\u6839\u636e\u5317\u4eac\u65b9\u9762\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6700\u7ec8\u6708\u5ea6\u8d38\u6613\u6570\u636e\uff0c9\u6708\u4efd\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u987a\u5dee\u6bd42017\u5e741\u6708\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5ba3\u8a93\u5c31\u804c\u65f6\u9ad8\u51fa43.6%\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u4e0a\u4efb\u524d\u540e\u90fd\u66fe\u62b1\u6028\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u534e\u8d38\u6613\u9006\u5dee\uff0c\u800c\u4eca\u5e74\u5927\u8086\u5439\u5618\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u9636\u6bb5\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u2014\u2014\u5317\u4eac\u540c\u610f\u8d2d\u4e70\u4ef7\u503c\u6570\u5343\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ea7\u54c1\u2014\u2014\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u89e3\u51b3\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u52a0\u5feb\u8d2d\u4e70\u5177\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u653f\u6cbb\u610f\u4e49\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\uff0c\u5982\u5927\u8c46\u3001\u732a\u8089\u548c\u7389\u7c73\uff0c\u8d64\u5b57\u4ecd\u7136\u96be\u4ee5\u7f29\u5c0f\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4f46\u827e\u5229\u68ee\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u5408\u4f5c\u4e0e\u7ade\u4e89\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u4e09\u661f\u662f\u82f9\u679c\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e24\u56fd\u662f\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u3002<\/p>\n
\u827e\u8389\u68ee\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e54\u2022\u62dc\u767b(Joe Biden)\u62c5\u4efb\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5c06\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u52a8\u5176\u4e9a\u6d32\u4f19\u4f34\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u548c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u4e4b\u95f4\u9009\u62e9\u7acb\u573a\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5df2\u7ecf\u9000\u51fa\u4e86\u8de8\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\u534f\u5b9a(TPP)\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u8bf4\u8fd9\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u6765\u8bf4\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u201c\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u534f\u8bae\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
TPP\u662f\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u3001\u6587\u83b1\u3001\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u3001\u667a\u5229\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u3001\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u3001\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u3001\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u3001\u79d8\u9c81\u3001\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u3001\u8d8a\u5357\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u5b9a\uff0c\u4e8e2016\u5e742\u6708\u7b7e\u7f72\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u7279\u6717\u666e\u57282017\u5e741\u6708\u4e0a\u4efb\u540e\u4e0d\u4e45\u5c31\u9000\u51fa\uff0c\u8be5\u534f\u5b9a\u65e0\u6cd5\u83b7\u5f97\u6279\u51c6\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6b64\u540e\uff0c\u753111\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7b7e\u7f72\u7684\u300a\u8de8\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\u534f\u5b9a\u300b\u53d6\u4ee3\u4e86TPP\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
[ \u534e\u5c14\u8857\u6587\u6458\u8bd1 – \u539f\u6587 SCMP — 2020\u5e7411\u67084\u65e5] \u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b66(Harvard university)\u6559\u6388\u3001\u4f5c\u5bb6\u683c\u96f7\u5384\u59c6\u00b7\u57c3\u91cc\u68ee(Graham …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":89106,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2,3],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89105"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=89105"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89105\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/89106"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=89105"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=89105"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/xiongmaotimes.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=89105"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}