[ \u534e\u5c14\u8857\u6587\u6458\u8bd1 – \u539f\u6587 SCMP — 2020\u5e7411\u670824\u65e5]<\/p>\n
15\u4e2a\u4e9a\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u672c\u6708\u521d\u51b3\u5b9a\u7b7e\u7f72\u533a\u57df\u5168\u9762\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\uff08RCEP\uff09\uff0c\u8fd9\u6807\u5fd7\u7740\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e00\u4f53\u5316\u5411\u524d\u8fc8\u51fa\u4e86\u91cd\u8981\u4e00\u6b65\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5370\u5ea6\u5916\u4ea4\u5b98\u548c\u5b66\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u5173\u4e8e\u8be5\u56fd\u662f\u5426\u88ab\u6392\u9664\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u589e\u957f\u4e4b\u5916\u7684\u8fa9\u8bba\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5370\u5ea6\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e0d\u52a0\u5165\u8be5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3002<\/p>\n
\u524d\u5370\u5ea6\u603b\u7406\u66fc\u83ab\u6c49\u00b7\u8f9b\u683c\uff08Manmohan Singh\uff09\u7684\u987e\u95ee\u6851\u8d3e\u4e9a\u00b7\u5df4\u9c81\uff08Sanjaya Baru\uff09\u5bf9\u5370\u5ea6\u62a5\u7eb8\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6211\u4eec\u6e34\u671b\u767b\u4e0a\u4e9a\u6d32\u5df4\u58eb\uff0c\u4f46\u5370\u5ea6\u5374\u4e00\u518d\u9519\u8fc7\u3002\u201d \u4ed6\u5c06\u5f53\u524d\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0e1990\u5e74\u4ee3\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u6bd4\u8f83\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u65b0\u5fb7\u91cc\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e0d\u52a0\u5165\u4e9a\u592a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5408\u4f5c\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08APEC\uff09\uff0c\u540e\u8005\u662f\u753121\u4e2a\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u8d38\u6613\u96c6\u56e2\u3002<\/p>\n
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RCEP\u8986\u76d6\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u300126.2\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684GDP\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u62e5\u670913\u4ebf\u4eba\u53e3\u3001\u7ea62.7\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143GDP\u7684\u5370\u5ea6\u52a0\u5165\uff0c\u5176\u89c4\u6a21\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5927\u5f97\u591a\u3002\u4f46\u53bb\u5e7411\u6708\uff0c\u5728\u5c31\u5176\u52a0\u5165\u6761\u4ef6\u8fdb\u884c\u4e867\u5e74\u8c08\u5224\u540e\uff0c\u8be5\u56fd\u9000\u51fa\u4e86\u8be5\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u7406\u7531\u662f\u5176\u5173\u952e\u5173\u5207\u6ca1\u6709\u5f97\u5230\u89e3\u51b3\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u60f3\u8981\u66f4\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u201c\u539f\u4ea7\u5730\u89c4\u5219\u201d\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u6b62\u5ec9\u4ef7\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\u6d8c\u5165\u5176\u56fd\u5185\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5e76\u4e3a\u5176\u519c\u4e1a\u63d0\u4f9b\u66f4\u591a\u4fdd\u62a4\u3002\u5b83\u8fd8\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u613f\u505a\u51fa\u8ba9\u6b65\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u5176\u5b83\u4e9a\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u8bd5\u56fe\u8bbe\u7f6e\u975e\u5173\u7a0e\u58c1\u5792\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u611f\u5230\u4e0d\u6ee1\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5370\u5ea6\u524d\u5916\u4ea4\u5b98\uff0c\u65b0\u5fb7\u91cc\u667a\u56ca\u56e2\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7814\u7a76\u4e0e\u4fe1\u606f\u7cfb\u7edf\u73b0\u4efb\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7a46\u7f55\u00b7\u5e93\u9a6c\u5c14\uff08Mohan Kumar\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u4ece\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bfb\u6c42\u7684\u8ba9\u6b65\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u662f\u201c\u4fdd\u969c\u63aa\u65bd\u201d \u2013\u5982\u679c\u4ece\u5317\u4eac\u6765\u7684\u5546\u54c1\u6fc0\u589e\u5c06\u5141\u8bb8\u5f81\u6536\u5173\u7a0e\u7684\u89c4\u5b9a \u3002<\/p>\n
\u5c3d\u7ba1\u65e5\u672c\u8bd5\u56fe\u8fbe\u6210\u4e00\u9879\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u613f\u63a5\u53d7\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u6761\u6b3e\uff0c\u8be5\u534f\u8bae\u5931\u8d25\u4e86\u3002 \u5e93\u9a6c\u5c14\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u6700\u7ec8\u4f1a\u5f97\u5230\u89e3\u51b3\uff0c\u4f46\u6ca1\u6709\u89e3\u51b3\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
\u4f46\u5bfc\u81f4\u8c08\u5224\u7834\u88c2\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\uff0c\u4e2d\u5370\u4e24\u56fd\u5728\u559c\u9a6c\u62c9\u96c5\u8fb9\u5883\u957f\u8fbe\u6570\u6708\u7684\u5bf9\u5cd9\uff0c\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u5370\u5ea6\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u6df1\u7684\u4e0d\u4fe1\u4efb\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5bf9\u5cd9\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u5230\u4e25\u51ac\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5370\u5ea6\u524d\u5de5\u5546\u90e8\u957f\u963f\u5357\u5fb7\u2022\u590f\u5c14\u9a6c(Anand Sharma)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e0d\u53c2\u4e0eRCEP\u662f\u201c\u4e00\u79cd\u5012\u9000\u201d\u3002\u590f\u5c14\u9a6c\u57282012\u5e74\u4e3a\u5370\u5ea6\u53d1\u8d77\u4e86RCEP\u8c08\u5224\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u5931\u671b\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c06\u5f88\u96be\u5c06\u5370\u5ea6\u89c6\u4e3a\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\u3002<\/p>\n
\u65b0\u5fb7\u91cc\u8d3e\u74e6\u54c8\u62c9\u5c14\u00b7\u5c3c\u8d6b\u9c81\u5927\u5b66\uff08Jawaharlal Nehru University\uff09\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u548c\u8ba1\u5212\u6559\u6388Biswajit Dhar\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e3a\u5e94\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u53ef\u80fd\u5efa\u9020\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0a\u7684\u9632\u706b\u5899\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u7531\u4e8e\u8fb9\u754c\u51b2\u7a81\u540e\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u5df2\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u7acb\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u56f0\u96be\u91cd\u91cd\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5fc5\u987b\u63a2\u7d22\u7684\u9009\u62e9\uff0c\u4ee5\u7ee7\u7eed\u524d\u8fdb\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
\u5370\u5ea6\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u8bd5\u56fe\u634d\u536b\u4e0d\u52a0\u5165RCEP\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u5916\u4ea4\u4e8b\u52a1\u90e8\u957fJaishankar\u4e0a\u5468\u5728\u5370\u5ea6\u5546\u5b66\u9662\u7684Deccan\u5bf9\u8bdd\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u65b0\u5fb7\u91cc\u5141\u8bb8\u83b7\u5f97\u8865\u8d34\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u548c\u6765\u81ea\u56fd\u5916\u7684\u4e0d\u516c\u5e73\u751f\u4ea7\u4f18\u52bf\u5360\u4e0a\u98ce\uff0c\u4f46\u6ca1\u6709\u6307\u540d\u4e2d\u56fd\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u5b9a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5df2\u7ecf\u4f7f\u8be5\u56fd\u7684\u67d0\u4e9b\u90e8\u95e8\u201c\u53bb\u5de5\u4e1a\u5316\u201d\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u968f\u7740\u5370\u5ea6\u8ffd\u6c42\u6210\u4e3a\u81ea\u529b\u66f4\u751f\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0c\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5b83\u5c31\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u4e16\u754c\u3002<\/p>\n
Jaishankar\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u5c06\u51b3\u5b9a\u5370\u5ea6\u662f\u5426\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u6d41\u7684\u5de5\u4e1a\u5f3a\u56fd\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
\u4f46\u662f\u56fd\u4f1a\u515a\u9886\u8896\uff0c\u524d\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u957f\u5947\u4e39\u5df4\u62c9\u59c6\uff08P. Chidambaram\uff09\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u56fd\u4f1a\u8bae\u5458\u3002\u4ed6\u5728\u4e00\u6761\u63a8\u6587\u4e2d\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u8d3e\u5c1a\u5361\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u53cd\u6620\u4e861970\u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u8bed\u8a00\u201d\u3002\u4ed6\u6240\u6307\u7684\u65f6\u4ee3\u662f\u5370\u5ea6\u4e0d\u613f\u5f00\u653e\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5e74\u5747\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4ec5\u4e3a3.5\uff05\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u4ed6\u4e9a\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u533a\uff08\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\uff0c\u53f0\u6e7e\u548c\u97e9\u56fd\uff09\u7684GDP\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5374\u5728\u5e73\u5747\u589e\u957f\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4e3a7\uff05\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5370\u5ea6\u4ece1991\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u81ea\u7531\u5316\uff0c\u5176\u540e\u51e0\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u7387\u4e3a8\uff05\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u5b83\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7b7e\u7f72\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n
\u201c\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u4ecd\u7136\u76f8\u5bf9\u5c01\u95ed\uff0c\u201d\u65b0\u5fb7\u91cc\u5357\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66(South Asian University)\u7684\u9ad8\u7ea7\u52a9\u7406\u6cd5\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u666e\u62c9\u5df4\u4ec0\u00b7\u5170\u8a79(Prabhash Ranjan)\u5728\u300a\u5370\u5ea6\u6559\u5f92\u62a5\u300b(the Hindu)\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u89c2\u70b9\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n
Ranjan\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u5b9e\u884c\u7684\u6700\u60e0\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3\u5173\u7a0e\u4e3a13.8%\uff0c\u662f\u6240\u6709\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u4e2d\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u3002\u5728\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u53d1\u5c55\u4f1a\u8bae(UN Conference on Trade and Development)\u7684\u9650\u5236\u6027\u6307\u6570\u4e2d\uff0c\u5b83\u4e5f\u5c5e\u4e8e\u201c\u975e\u5e38\u9650\u5236\u6027\u201d\u7684\u7c7b\u522b\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4ece1995\u5e74\u52302019\u5e74\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u4e3a\u4fdd\u62a4\u56fd\u5185\u4ea7\u4e1a\uff0c\u5171\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86972\u6b21\u53cd\u503e\u9500\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5c45\u4e16\u754c\u4e4b\u9996\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5170\u8a79\u672c\u5468\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u8868\u793a:\u201c\u7531\u4e8e\u62d2\u7edd\u7b7e\u7f72RCEP\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u73b0\u5728\u786e\u5b9e\u5904\u4e8e\u5730\u533a\u548c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u8fb9\u7f18\u3002\u201d\u201c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u63d0\u4f9b\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u7684\u4e2d\u5fc3\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u4e25\u91cd\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u5236\u9020\u5546\u5e0c\u671b\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4eab\u53d7\u4f18\u60e0\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
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\u4ed6\u8bf4:\u201c\u5728\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u540e\u7684\u5f62\u52bf\u4e0b\uff0c\u2018\u590d\u539f\u529b\u548c\u4fe1\u4efb\u2019\u5c06\u6bd4\u4ef7\u503c\u94fe\u66f4\u52a0\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0cRCEP\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u4e3a\u5370\u5ea6\u672a\u6765\u5e0c\u671b\u52a0\u5165\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u655e\u5f00\u4e86\u5927\u95e8\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u65b0\u5fb7\u91cc\u6ca1\u6709\u53c2\u4e0e\u4efb\u4f55\u6d89\u53ca\u4e9a\u6d32\u5176\u4ed6\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u8d38\u6613\u5b89\u6392\uff0c\u8fd9\u8ba9\u5b83\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u5904\u5883\u5982\u4f55?<\/p>\n
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